It's a very weird situation right now. The huge, overwhelming, consensus from the Eurofan community is one of dislike. And we're all speculating that the average watcher, the general public, will like it. And certainly a lot of money has gone on that prediction.
But can there really be such a divide between the opinion of the Eurofan community and average watcher? I know 1944 wasn't a huge draw among Eurofans, but Jesus - the dislike this song has does not come close to that. Nearly everyone could at least appreciate 1944 and the emotion behind the song. It's hard to find appreciation for this aside from Rybak's charisma.
I feel like it could win, but then I look practically anywhere online - YouTube comments, Reddit, this place, Twitter... and its just not popular. It's just speculation that it will be liked, but I'm not sure if it will. It doesn't matter how liked he is, the fact it is the 1500th song, the fact he might have support in the Eastern bloc being born in Belarus and appearing on TV shows in that region... I've always been of the opinion the public simply pick up the phone for the song that makes them either go "wow" the most, or in the case of someone like Euphoria or Heroes, is just a fantastic pop song. This does not come close to either of them, and will be a big letdown.