Re: FRANCE 2018
Oh - forgot to mention earlier, but I'm expecting Emmy to be in the mix as well. Her song stands out a little, and she was close behind Lisandro in the SF1 IJ votes.
As-is, I'm thinking the jury votes will be a rather close top 3 of Lisandro --> Madame Monsieur --> Emmy, with the televotes more along the lines of Madame Monsieur --> Lisandro --> Emmy.
That said, Lisandro could absolutely top the televote too; he's got a more active stage show than the others, and might mop up a lot of the teenage girl vote that doesn't necessarily show up on iTunes purchase charts. Meanwhile, Madame Monsieur could handily win the jury vote if she improves her presentation, or if the jury's reluctant to go against the public hype train she's started putting together in the last week. And I don't want to rule out Emmy in either category, given that she's a bit of a dark horse and France doesn't really have NFs frequently enough to give a clear idea of what the voters will prefer.
TL;DR No idea who'll win overall between Lisandro and MM; I'm pipping Emmy for third, but wouldn't be too surprised if she nabs the win; if it's any of the other five, then ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Now watch as Louka or someone ends up winning in a landslide just to prove me wrong