Winner predictions?

[MyHeartIsYours]

According to me Estonia will be the biggest disappointment of the year for many eurofans...

Yeah, Im not sure it'll even come top 5...

 

[Krishoes]

Yeah, Im not sure it'll even come top 5...

I think the same. I like the song (11th on my list), it's actually good but their live performance is nothing outstanding and I cannot understand why it's so high in the predictions. What is so special in this song? I believe there is too much hype because of The Common Linnets' results last year (although the songs are very different)

 

[carl1]

I think it will flop as well

 

[Leydan]

I agree, I like it but i'm beginning to think that it wont do anywhere near as well as we all think. I'm not predicting a 2011 style flop, but it definitely wont be top 5. It's one of the few songs i have played to my friends and they all just think it's all that great, and my mum was shocked it was even a favourite. I know they are only a few people but they all said the same thing about the song and they are the epitome of the average viewer.

 

[MyHeartIsYours]

It's not in my top 10 either but I do think it has enough oomph to get 5th-10th, but Im not sure if it has the special quality to get top 5. The Common Linnets werent really my thing but they definitely had an outstanding song/performance... but you never know with Eurovision!

 

[Kaz]

Hmm, a two-horse race between Estonia and Italy? Yeah right, maybe next don't be so fast to do conslusions especially when Sweden only had 83% time chart. Just now, Sweden finally got 100% time in the chart which Estonia and Italy had for many weeks now. Look at Sweden's amount of 12 pts compared to Estonia's.

http://www.escstats.com

Even if Sweden has more 12's, Estonia is still winning by over 500 points.

 

[SuperGirl]

Even if Sweden has more 12's, Estonia is still winning by over 500 points.

As I said Estonia had 100% chart time for weeks. Sweden got 100% chart time today and is already on second place.

IMO, 12pts are way more important than all other points Estonia has. Yes, many people like Estonia but do they like the song enough to vote for it when it counts??

 

[Kaz]

As I said Estonia had 100% chart time for weeks. Sweden got 100% chart time today and is already on second place.

IMO, 12pts are way more important than all other points Estonia has. Yes, many people like Estonia but do they like the song enough to vote for it when it counts??

I see your point. Haha, I guess we'll find out who's right in May.

 

[SuperGirl]

I see your point. Haha, I guess we'll find out who's right in May.

I agree! Can't wait to May. I have a feeling about April will be looooooong.

 

[Pawhlen]

This site is otherwise the most ultimate one (It will be fully updated to 2015 soon) - http://esctracker.com/

 

[Leydan]

This site is otherwise the most ultimate one (It will be fully updated to 2015 soon) - http://esctracker.com/

I've been checking that constantly all month to see when they will update it. They said after HoD delegations so hopefully soon.

 

[popavapeur]

mmmmh i think that the "real contenders" won't win. Sweden, Italy, Estonia won't win. It's quite obvious for me that's the dark horse year, we should pick a country on those "dark horses" : the best performance will win. The kind of songs that are not obviously winner at first listening and one of them will smash everything with the performance.

Yes, i mean, a "Calm After The Storm" bis repetita.

 

[Mlyn]

Tonight I dreamt that Italy and Estonia got a very bad result (just 34 points), Sweden sneaked in the Top 5, but couldnt win. And no one told me who has won, because I couldn't see that part of the scoreboard myself.

 

[sigi]

Tonight I dreamt that Italy and Estonia got a very bad result (just 34 points), Sweden sneaked in the Top 5, but couldnt win. And no one told me who has won, because I couldn't see that part of the scoreboard myself.

Oh..I was there and I was able to see the scoreboard!!! Israel won with 315 points, runner up was Norway with 273 points, 3rd place Slovenia with 227 points, 4th Ireland with 195 points, 5th Sweden with 178 points. Great show btw

 

[Krishoes]

Yes, i mean, a "Calm After The Storm" bis repetita.

And so... this dark horse will reach the 2nd position.

 

[popavapeur]

And so... this dark horse will reach the 2nd position.

No. You can't compare 2014 and 2015. That's not smart at all. In the 2014 ESC you had Conchita, a true character full of charisma. ESC is not all about the song, you have to take the singer(s) + the performance. Conchita was outstanding. The contestants of this year are flat.
As 2015 doesn't have this kind of people in the contest, the "2nd" might take the "1st place".

btw, this is only right after the rehearsals. Maybe Estonia will have a stunning performance and that'll be enough to win or maybe a dark horse will have a better performance than the 3 fan-favourites and this country will take the crown. (and IMO Austria last year was also kind of a Dark Horse as people - before the rehearsals- didn't bet a piece on it, it was all about Sweden, Armenia or Hungary)

 

[Nikkita]

I don't think it's healthy to choose a country for the winner before the rehearsals, even the semifinals. Remember how Conchita surprised all of us? I don't agree that the winner is clear this year, every fan has a different answer. My candidates would be Italy, Estonia and Azerbaijan but i can't choose between them now.

 

[lilka]

Is a dark horse or a "real contender" ?

 

[popavapeur]

Is a dark horse or a "real contender" ?

mmh.. hard to say, i want to think : a real contender as - for me - it's the best ballad this year. but at the same time, that's not really popular (they're more into Sweden, Azerbaijan, Estonia or Italy)

 

[SuperGirl]

There's alot of talk about 2014. But what about 2012 and 2013 then???? The major favorites did actually won. So no esc fans don't always have wrong.

I think some people want to think their faves have chances.