I feel the sudden change from Jupiter from Aries to Taurus just before Eurovision could boost Italy a lot this year. From loud and crazy to melodic and gentle. But that's just my delusion with a grain of pepper.
Also, in terms of uniqueness this song is winning, ballad sung by a male. Who else is serving this this year? Female ballads are usually struggling to attract televotes.
The younger ESC fans usually aren't attracted by this genre and I can understand why. Pop songs, funny songs or novelty ones are more easy to digest. But there is a huge amount of older esc fans, over 30, that like passionate ballads ( not very far but three years ago a ballad won ) so I think there is enough space even for this genre.
Since I believe that Due Vite is the best ballad this year, hopefully there aren't many, and Marco is a fantastic performer, he will gatjher the votes of ballad lovers. This is a pure contemporary italian ballad, very recognizable and that's somehow a plus for the wide public ( not for the various forums members or youtubers which always look for different and alternative proposals no matter if are qualitative or not ). Italy has got the highest televote points with a very tipical italian song Grande Amore because there is always a public which recognize that classic italian style at its best.