ESC United Mod Team
Super Moderator
- Joined
- February 10, 2021
- Posts
- 214
Last edited by a moderator:
I think this is the answer. A bunch of countries all getting something in the 300-400 range with no one monopolising either the juries nor the televote the way we are used to. In which case something like 150 from the juries and 250 from the televote seems like a plausible way to win for . Still, 3.2 is likely too little, there's probably some value right now with the other frontrunners.The needed points for an win might be (a lot) lower than usual, so I wouldnt rule out a croatian win. I am just surprised its the big odds favourite. We do have some of the wildest odds ever this year. Every little info seems to have strong influence and the market just cant make up its mind.
Correct me if I'm wrong but didn't it only go to the balkans three times (ones of those in 1990), I thought a zoomer would connect it more to the nordics given that between 2006 and 2014 it was hosted in a nordic country four times and twice in the balkans.Being a zoomer means I associate Eurovision with Eastern Europe and the Balkans especially from growing up. Eurovision finally coming back home to the Balkans after so many years would be amazing, I'd love for a non-Western country that isn't Ukraine to win.
If he just copy-pasted the music video to the stage I would fully be behind this, despite the song not being among my personal favourites. What worries me is that he seems to be keeping the fist-pump dance, which was one of the parts of the Dora performance that seemed to be the least thought-out. I get that he wants a meme-able dance, but it just looks pretty lame and stationary. Compare it to Joost's choreography during his chorus.
If I was the director for this my first move would be to press the big shiny delete button on everything from the Dora performance, so that makes me worry if he is planning to keep other things as well.
I don't know this year looks like someone could dominate the jury vote again. Not sure who but the juries certainly have less options than the televote.I think this is the answer. A bunch of countries all getting something in the 300-400 range with no one monopolising either the juries nor the televote the way we are used to. In which case something like 150 from the juries and 250 from the televote seems like a plausible way to win for . Still, 3.2 is likely too little, there's probably some value right now with the other frontrunners.
Certainly, the juryvote is likely to get a lot more concentrated behind a bunch of songs - the question is what is the spread inside of that group gonna look like - someone could pull a Loreen, or we could just get 5 high scoring songs without any of them reaching a significant advantage. I don't say I see it as super likely, just that should win, then this is the plausible path for me.I don't know this year looks like someone could dominate the jury vote again. Not sure who but the juries certainly have less options than the televote.
I don't know why but I can clearly see some "Gabbani factor" for this entry: very popular, colourful, quirky, but in the end unsuccessful despite being one of the odds favourite and the fandom favourite.
For Croatians fans, I hope to be wrong: I will be really happy if Croatia wins. But sometimes It gives me this impression.
Wishful thinking.A win would be a huge surprise for me tbh. I don’t see enough jury support. He won’t get 150 jury points or something like that. I expect like 50-100 jury points and 200-250 televoting points.
I believe that is the most likely winner followed by .
I‘d be totally fine with winning. Especially because I’d love to see a new country winning (if you don’t count the 1989 win). But I don’t really see the path to victory. Could you explain it to me? is no jury song. It won’t have as much support as had last year. I just don’t see that. And I really don’t expect a televoting result over 300 points.Wishful thinking.
I don't like the song at all but I sort of feel like I wouldn't mind it winning. I find it pretty inoffensive, BL seems like a great guy, I like the cat references and I'd like next year's edition to go somewhere new.I like this song I really do but ever since Dora I have tried to see what all the people who want it to win see and I just can't, in parts it reminds me of Bulgaria 2022.
Yes it has a nice message and isnt complete generic rock the entire time but I cannot understand why people want it to win and I've really tried.
I do however want it to do well
I’ve never been the song’s biggest fan and was very harsh on it upon reveal. I’m still not keen but don’t hate it but the desire for it to win does mystify me too.I like this song I really do but ever since Dora I have tried to see what all the people who want it to win see and I just can't, in parts it reminds me of Bulgaria 2022.
Yes it has a nice message and isnt complete generic rock the entire time but I cannot understand why people want it to win and I've really tried.
I do however want it to do well
I would hope not. Kind of defeats the point of the jury if they’re thinking ‘this is already really popular, so we must mark it that way’.I don't like the song at all but I sort of feel like I wouldn't mind it winning. I find it pretty inoffensive, BL seems like a great guy, I like the cat references and I'd like next year's edition to go somewhere new.
Re the jury support, I agree it isn't the type of entry that typically does well with the jury. I wonder though would jury members feel inclined to mark it more favourably because of it being one of the hot favourites.
Yeah I still wonder if this happened last year to some extent with Kaarija (jury feeling more positively inclined towards it than they normally would for such entries, because it was a hot favourite along with Loreen). Maybe, maybe not. I'm inclined to think on balance not, maybe they genuinely liked what they saw although could still have been a little biased.I know some will argue that happened last year but I would find this more questionable if Croatia got a healthy jury score similar to Loreen and Kaarija (probably not Loreen levels admittedly) purely because it’s one of the favourites…
I‘d be totally fine with winning. Especially because I’d love to see a new country winning (if you don’t count the 1989 win). But I don’t really see the path to victory. Could you explain it to me? is no jury song. It won’t have as much support as had last year. I just don’t see that. And I really don’t expect a televoting result over 300 points.
I would hope that Kaarija impressed in the jury performance both vocally and for the show and got points for that - rather than just being one of the favourites.Yeah I still wonder if this happened last year to some extent with Kaarija (jury feeling more positively inclined towards it than they normally would for such entries, because it was a hot favourite along with Loreen). Maybe, maybe not. I'm inclined to think on balance not, maybe they genuinely liked what they saw although could still have been a little biased.
Even if jury does reward Croatia handsomely, it may because they like the song and are charmed by the whole package, as many fans have been.
BTW I was never a massive fan of Cha Cha Cha although I did want it to win over Tattoo. I personally prefer CCC in every way to RTTD.
I like this song I really do but ever since Dora I have tried to see what all the people who want it to win see and I just can't, in parts it reminds me of Bulgaria 2022.
Yes it has a nice message and isnt complete generic rock the entire time but I cannot understand why people want it to win and I've really tried.
I do however want it to do well
We don't know if it is pleasant to the majority of the viewers yet, it probably will be but odds aren't everythingI have your answer: Eurovision public has always liked silly onomatopoeian titles since "Boom-bang-a-bang" by Lulu, "La la la" by Massiel, "Ding-a-dong" by Teach in. Onomatopoeia is used to give a chorus more musicality and, if used in a title, public is more curiouus to see what the song sounds like because the title gives no clues. That's why "Rim Tim Tagi Dim" it's pleasant to the majority of the viewers.