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Who will qualify from semi 1?

Who will qualify from semi 1?

  • Armenia

    109 80.7%
  • Austria

    50 37.0%
  • Azerbaijan

    104 77.0%
  • Bosnia & Herzegovina

    58 43.0%
  • Croatia

    111 82.2%
  • Cyprus

    100 74.1%
  • Czech Republic

    68 50.4%
  • Estonia

    83 61.5%
  • Finland

    16 11.9%
  • Greece

    51 37.8%
  • Hungary

    104 77.0%
  • Iceland

    108 80.0%
  • Malta

    55 40.7%
  • Moldova

    8 5.9%
  • Montenegro

    7 5.2%
  • Russia

    119 88.1%
  • San Marino

    5 3.7%
  • The Netherlands

    82 60.7%

  • Total voters
    135
  • Poll closed .

zs1001

Member
Joined
February 26, 2016
Posts
274
[MENTION=13275]Mii11[/MENTION] Not realistic prediction IMO. If Estonia and Hungary do not qualify I will be very sad but you will be my guest for a virtual beer.
 

Mii11

Member
Joined
February 26, 2014
Posts
1,190
Location
Europe
[MENTION=13275]Mii11[/MENTION] Not realistic prediction IMO. If Estonia and Hungary do not qualify I will be very sad but you will be my guest for a virtual beer.

I think Hungary will probably qualify. Keep in mind that Hungary was one of the first countries to perform in the random draw I made beforehand (they were performing just after San Marino, which was first). Also I was a bit biased because I am not a big fan of Freddie's song (my favorites in A Dal were Olah Gergo and Kallay Saunders Band). As for Estonia, I think it will get lost as there are many good songs in the semi. Having said that, I think this semi will be quite unpredictable so I think we will all be surprised by some qualifiers.

BTW I don't like beer, so could you give me a cup of tea instead (in case I was right) :)
 

JamieBrown

Well-known member
Joined
May 31, 2013
Posts
6,421
Location
Moving through Germany
Well my latest calculation (22.03.) got me this result. Just to explain my system: I'm using a formula of the voting patterns from the last 10 years and the Top 10 betting odds. Then I add up the ultra-heterogenous poll results from escnation.

01. :ru:
02. :az:
03. :hr:
04. :am:
05. :is:
06. :hu:
07. :ee:
08. :cy:
09. :at:
10. :gr:
11. :ba:
12. :nl:
13. :cz:
14. :mt:
15. :fi:
16. :md:
17. :me:
18. :sm:

Would be okay results. I'm already prepared for the moment when the best song of the edition fails and we won't see the joyful Douwe in the final again.

I will wait some weeks and when Eurovision is close enough I will make a prediction for the whole contest once again.
 

Mii11

Member
Joined
February 26, 2014
Posts
1,190
Location
Europe
Well my latest calculation (22.03.) got me this result. Just to explain my system: I'm using a formula of the voting patterns from the last 10 years and the Top 10 betting odds. Then I add up the ultra-heterogenous poll results from escnation.

01. :ru:
02. :az:
03. :hr:
04. :am:
05. :is:
06. :hu:
07. :ee:
08. :cy:
09. :at:
10. :gr:
11. :ba:
12. :nl:
13. :cz:
14. :mt:
15. :fi:
16. :md:
17. :me:
18. :sm:

Would be okay results. I'm already prepared for the moment when the best song of the edition fails and we won't see the joyful Douwe in the final again.

I will wait some weeks and when Eurovision is close enough I will make a prediction for the whole contest once again.

:cz: xcry
I really hope that :gr: will somehow fail to qualify. Their song doesn't deserve to get through just because it represents Greece.
 

FoxOfShadows

Well-known member
Joined
September 19, 2013
Posts
1,532
I think Hungary will probably qualify. Keep in mind that Hungary was one of the first countries to perform in the random draw I made beforehand (they were performing just after San Marino, which was first). Also I was a bit biased because I am not a big fan of Freddie's song (my favorites in A Dal were Olah Gergo and Kallay Saunders Band). As for Estonia, I think it will get lost as there are many good songs in the semi. Having said that, I think this semi will be quite unpredictable so I think we will all be surprised by some qualifiers.

BTW I don't like beer, so could you give me a cup of tea instead (in case I was right) :)

I can see both :hu: and :ee: storming jury vote
 

zs1001

Member
Joined
February 26, 2016
Posts
274
[MENTION=13275]Mii11[/MENTION] I realized you do not love Freddie's song I thought that reading your previous comments. In A Dal I think Kállay's song was the best but he ruined their chances with live performances. He was weak in heat, better in semi but a complete disaster in the final. We wont know the truth about his failure - sabotage, system error, drug problems or he was simply nervous - but based on his former performances I did not cry after him. Gergő has excellent, strong voice, he could dance - so he is a perfect singer for Eurovision but that song was a complete mess and kitsch IMO. He is a gipsy guy, but that song was not gipsy music as a lot of foreigners thought. It was a weird mix of turkish, jew and gipsy music with other eastern elements. And finally sand flow from the ceiling :roll:. Hungary has no seaside or desert.... I hope somebody will write a good song for Gergő finally. (maybe we can hire Swedish guys to compose an ESC compatible song :lol:) Freddie was the best choice, good voice, strong performance, good song and he can improve his perf for ESC. I am rooting for Jüri also, his Achilles heel is the dark, too pure staging.
 

GermanBango

Well-known member
Joined
April 13, 2012
Posts
5,413
Location
Hannover
I don't ever want this semi to come, I don't want it, I don't want it
xgaahxcryX-OI
Too much for my sensitive soul

The worst thing about is that we can only watch what happens ... I don't want to vote in shitty Semi 2 :lol:
 

Kairit

Well-known member
Joined
February 24, 2014
Posts
1,364
Location
Tartu, Estonia
I'll say :ru: :hr: :cy: :mt: :ee: :hu: :is: :az: :am: and.... :gr: / :cz: / :nl: This semi-final is just, yikes. Anyone could make it besides :sm: :me: :md:. I'll make a new prediction when the rehearsals come around and then another one on the night. Usually I have gotten two wrong in the first semi and one wrong in the second one.
 

joancamo

Member
Joined
January 11, 2014
Posts
564
If :cy: performs as today at the Moscow pre-party, they're giving their spot in the final to someone else, the live was not good today. The lead singer could not sing!
 

JamieBrown

Well-known member
Joined
May 31, 2013
Posts
6,421
Location
Moving through Germany
:at: and :nl: in?
In your dreams...

You see that he's far from being the only one?

Also since this is a predictions thread and it's not going to reflect the own oppinions of the users here, I think you should hold back with personal comments. Especially when we don't predict your favourite to qualify ;)
 

John1

Well-known member
Joined
November 1, 2015
Posts
7,863
Location
Brittany
You see that he's far from being the only one?

Also since this is a predictions thread and it's not going to reflect the own oppinions of the users here, I think you should hold back with personal comments. Especially when we don't predict your favourite to qualify ;)

I didn't want to be harsh with him, sorry! :oops:
 

John1

Well-known member
Joined
November 1, 2015
Posts
7,863
Location
Brittany
:at: might be a bit tad optimistic, but please, :nl: is a safe qualifier for me. It is different enough to stand out in a good way.

It might be for the :nl:, but I can't imagine them to qualify for the final as they did with the Common Linnets... :/
 

lavieenrose

Albania Superstar
Joined
August 21, 2014
Posts
11,677
Location
Phoenix, AZ / Oovoo Javer
You see that he's far from being the only one?

Also since this is a predictions thread and it's not going to reflect the own oppinions of the users here, I think you should hold back with personal comments. Especially when we don't predict your favourite to qualify ;)

@ everybody in WV :rolleyes:
 

midnightsun

Veteran
Joined
February 26, 2016
Posts
3,927
Location
Germany
Qualifier:
Russia
Iceland
Azerbaijan
Hungary
Malta
Cyprus
Croatia
Estonia
Surprises: Greece, San Marino (maybe BiH instead)

Surprising non-qualifiers: Austria, Czech Republic :'-(, Armenia :'-(
 

Nikkita

Active member
Joined
October 2, 2012
Posts
1,212
Location
Izmir,Turkey
After the draws, i think :mt: and :ba: will almost %90 qualify, joining :cz: :hu: :is: :ee: :am: :az: :ru: :hr:
 
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