Sweden: of course. Winning the semi and battling it with Russia on Saturday.
Norway: though somehow a small voice inside tells me this will miss out, but I ignored it
Poland: plum draw, juries will make ip for last year's crimes
Montenegro: nothing like it in this semifinal, and with no allies they did scrape through last year, so they should again!
Slovenia: not 100% sure, but a great draw and unique style should see it through
Azerbaijan: of course. Undeserved but what can I do?
Latvia: could do a 'Suus' but let's not go that far... juries should help this!
Cyprus: same with this one. Battling with Hungary and cancelling each other in the final.
Lithuania: they have a good qualification rate these days, and they have their allies in this semifinal + a catchy song!
Czech Republic: I'm sure juries rated this highly tonight for various reasons!
Missing out:
Israel: sounds like a televote hit & jury miss
Ireland: too early a starting position. Getting lost
Switzerland: not feeling this one. Can't see this standing out, particularly after Sweden
Portugal: avoiding last place but that's about it
Iceland: their first semifinal failure since 2007. Poor vocals all week long.
Malta: pretty much no one likes this and blew any chances with the jury rehearsal. Could well be last placed!
San Marino: or this one. Honestly, I can't see why people would vote for this dated crap...