Deltage said:
I don't really follow bookmakers or any other predictions, so I'm not familiar with that. I only hear about the favorites when they get talked about a lot, like Germany this year. Not that I'm surprised that Sweden isn't a favorite.
Regarding Germany, I meant to write Norwegian in my last post (hence edited).
The only people the Swedes are a favourite for is the Norwegians (and even then it's just scattered interest from a few "experts"), the Swedes (because we're all clueless Schlager bumpkins who
always think we're going to take Eurovision by storm with our clearly BS entry) and a few misguided fans here on ESCForums. Every single year, there's this entry I
know will fail that a whole bunch of fans insist will do well and which wins one or two (or even many) polls or at least do really well in the polls.
In 2008 it was Charlotte Perelli (the Korean cat alien who'd had bothed facial reconstruction surgery, because, really, what was up with that make-up?!), last year it was Finland (really, Eurodance with a guy who looks 40 rapping and female singers who are often borderline off-tune and screechy) and this year it's Sweden yet again (really, a ballad among 30 or so ballads with a girl who's 18 but who sounds like she's 40 and possibly a man where the stage show is just that same girl standing around swaying while fake-playing her guitar while clad in some demented pantyhose-skirt-converse combo. I mean, so what if there's gonna be 15,000 glowsticks used in the audience? If the television audience has already tuned her out after 30 seconds because of how interminably
boring her entry is, they're not gonna be magically jolted out of their stupor by glowsticks in the refrain!).
It's like Christer Björkman is willfully ignorant. Year after year we send entries where the stage-show is a bit of pacing back and forth and swaying.
It does not work at Eurovision unless your ballad is a really powerful power ballad that's epic and full of strings and piano and heart and love or something. Otherwise, even a ballad needs more than just the performer swaying a bit to the music (at least on the Eurovision stage)! And when Sweden chose Anna to fail, the rest of Europe had already made up their mind (wasn't Sweden the very last country to elect its representative?) so we already
knew Sweden would be one among 30 bajillion ballads!
Seriously, Sweden is not a front-runner. Sweden will not be a "Surprise flop". Sweden not qualifying will not be a giant shocker. At least not unless you're not a Swede, a Norwegian commentator/expert or a ESCForum member who thinks the televoters and juries will be hypnotized by the glowsticks.