I seriously don't get all the hype around the French entry. An unbelievably dull song and a very dislikeable performer. I'll be disappointed if it outperforms the UK entry. But that's just a personal opinion.
The UK entry is strong and seemingly popular, so it'll do well, but I'm not sure I can see it winning. Then again, no entry screams 'winner' to me. I think the main competition is going to be from France ( >.< ), Azerbaijan, and possibly Sweden/Russia. Even the bookies are suggesting Jedward have a good chance of winning, and I imagine it'll pick up some 12s in the final, I can't see it breaking into the top 3 (but a top 10 is more than possible).