Since in Sweden mostly only minor changes are made between the NF-performance and the one in Eurovision I was asking myself how accurate fan-polls have been regarding their chances. So for your understanding, the number on the left side was their
ranking on the big poll (eurovision.ee), the right side has their
ranking with televoters as well as their
ranking overall in the contest.
2007:
19th ->
18th
2008:
1st ->
18th
2009:
9th ->
15th /
21st
2010:
10th ->
NQ (9th with televoters in semi)
2011:
3rd ->
2nd /
3rd
2012:
1st ->
1st /
1st
2013:
9th ->
avg 18th /
14th
2014:
1st ->
4th /
3rd
2015:
3rd ->
3rd /
1st
2016:
24th ->
7th /
5th
2017:
5th ->
8th /
5th
2018:
15th ->
23th /
7th
I was not following ESC-season before the semis in 2008 yet, so it is still hard to believe why fans put Charlotte that high in 2008.
In many years the polls were pretty accurate. In some years Sweden was overrated. Frans was the only act, that got (massively) underrated. I remember the fandom somehow not accepting his win in MF and even disliking interviews with him during rehearsals.
I wonder if John will be the next one that gets underrated by fans.