SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION

[Mannone]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

I'd have to agree with somebody earlier in the thread.

Personally I thought Greece had a worse performance than Cyprus.

Cyprus entry is much less effective on stage, my opinion. It gets so obvious that song is not made to being performed on a stage. And she was out of breath. I really think it was one of the worse when it comes to vocals quality.

 

[Matt]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

do you guys sure the top 10 were announced randomly?
It might be the actual results with Romania 1st ,,, and Ireland 10th. oh whatever still for swimm againzt the streamm

It's always random, they used almost the same graphics as they did last year in Germany but it's all just in random order.

 

[Spencre]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

It's me or Ireland win all the time the special card ? :?

 

[Matt]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

It's me or Ireland win all the time the special card ? :?

Only two years in a row but the same happened to Spain

 

[Mozz]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

^Or Latvia!

I've already totally forgotten Latvia. Which proves how regrettably forgettable that performance was.

Yes, I think Latvia was second last. I hope not SM

 

[JurianFeygen]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

It's always random, they used almost the same graphics as they did last year in Germany but it's all just in random order.

hi Matt Congrats to all qualifiers and can't wait for 2nd SF. It's 6.00 am in i gotta go to work. Ciao!

 

[Spencre]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

Only two years in a row but the same happened to Spain

This year they win two times, In the semi and now for the final the win again.

That's weird!

 

[Pete]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

Well done to all those who qualified, and commiserations to those that didn't!
I got 9 out of 10 right in my prediction, the only one I got wrong was Cyprus qualifying (I thought it would be Switzerland)

I'm moderately happy with the results though, but I would have preferred it if two of Finland, Switzerland or Israel made it instead of Russia and Ireland but that was never going to happen.

Can't wait until Thursday now!

 

[Kristina]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

Cyprus entry is much less effective on stage, my opinion. It gets so obvious that song is not made to being performed on a stage. And she was out of breath. I really think it was one of the worse when it comes to vocals quality.

Cyprus sounds like she'll barely hit those low notes, like she should sing one key higher! Somehow she pulls it off, but feels she's straining so hard all the time.

 

[daniels1000]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

What about 11th place ? I think is Finland

 

[Mannone]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

Montenegro at last place? Maybe, but it was the funniest start ever. I just couldn't stop laughing at that man. I really can't believe it was serious. He looked like a boozer trying to retain balance. Very funny.

 

[Mozz]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

I think 11th place was...Austria.

 

[tooom]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

Some interesting statistics:
Last ten ESC:s the average start number for 1:st, 2:nd and 3:rd places are
1:st place: 17.5
2:nd place: 12.9
3:rd place: 11.2

If you look only at the last five years:
1:st place: 20.4
2:nd place: 13.8
3:rd place: 14.6

2:nd and 3:rd seem to be pretty smack down in the middle when the number of finalists has been between 24 and 26. However the average starting number for the winners is clearly higher.

I then did some further statistical analysis of the winner-data and found out that at a confidence interval of 95 % the winning starting number is between 13 and 22 (rounded numbers). This does not mean 95 % of all winners will have a starting number between 13 and 22, but as you collect more samples from different years the average is very likely to end up in that range. In the past ten years three winners were outside that interval, one of which was nr 24.

Calculation numbers (the REALLY boring part):
n=10 years
x=17.5
s=6.169
df=9
t 0.975 (df) = 2.262

 

[Mozz]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

Conclusion:

chances at a better result are higher in the second half (13-22), but not the last few starting positions.

 

[aletem]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

My guess is that Israel might have ended last in this semi.

 

[LakZaNokte]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

I'm very interested in semi 2. can't wait to see how that turns out. not only for my country, for many others there as well.

 

[Matt]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

 

[LakZaNokte]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

My guess is that Israel might have ended last in this semi.

Belgium is one more possiblity.

 

[Spencre]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

France jury is composed by Amaury Vasilli, i think he will like the albanian song

If France give 12 points or 10 to Albania on saturday, i will be the happiest guy in the world.

My two countries

 

[mono]

Re: SEMI FINAL 1 - DISCUSSION - 21:00 CET

What about 11th place ? I think is Finland

i think that too! finland or san marino