If Eurovision takes place, I hope to see Russia withdraw or being banned at this point.
You can´t expect the leader of a nuclear power to call the biggest country in Europe a "mistake" and take away their dignity and land by invading their territories and neglecting them from having their own culture, language, history will not have an effect on ESC.
I will try to not get deeper into politics now - even though the whole situation is very frightening (not really surprising [see Georgia, Moldova, Karabakh, Kazakhstan, Crimea]).
Let´s assume Eurovision will take place and Russia takes part in it - how would their participation look like?
Like
@empo21 guessed, they will probably submit a very cheesy ballad whose lyrics will be all about peace, love and togetherness.
Of course, we have to distinguish the entry/entrant from their government´s actions but this time, it will be very difficult to do so - especially since the time gap will be not as big as last time + the "speech" of that leader was more aggressive - fantasizing about a new Soviet Empire because "giving territories to fake states was a mistake" which could be seen as a threat towards ALL former Soviet entries - which will include more Eurovision participants.
Also, the votes from the Russian juries had been very tactical and political in the last few years - like placing Kirkorov/Moldova first - followed by that strange Greece/Cyprus/Malta/San Marino connection whilst neglecting bookies favourites to get any points like in 2019 (Italy, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Sweden).
Apart from probably choosing a peace ballad and/or an artist who´s very young and comes across as sweet and innocent or an artist who´s disabled to make Europe feel sympathy/empathy (like
@empo21 suggested), I also believe that the jury votes will be even MORE political/tactical and "bought" - Are Russian jury members about to give points to - let´s say -
for singing in their native tongue despite their leader claiming that it´s not a real language and that they don´t have a right to exist?
Are they going to vote for the Baltics - who are condeming the current invasion. Are they going to vote for members of the European Union/the UK who will impose sanctions on Russia? - Are they going to vote for countries sending defence weapons to Ukraine?
Or ar we getting another 12 pts to Moldova, 10 pts to San Marino fiasco?
At this point - even though Eurovision should be all about music - I can´t see how the Russian entry and especially the jury votes won´t be loaded/abused for politics, imo.
I tried to connect my worries to Eurovision only and I hope no one feels offended by it - but I honestly fail to understand how a country can be part in such an event when their leader basically call former Soviet states a mistake - and we have 8 of them competing this year.