Has it ever actually happened in Eesti Laul that the song that gets most of the televotes in the first round doesn't win in the end?
A few times, I believe.
All of these have been close calls tho', no 'overwhelming favourite' has ever flopped. That would only be possible thanks to juries I guess. If a song gets major support in round one, it's unlikely that would change in round two.
In 2009, Laura got the most votes in round 1 but juries kept her from the superfinal. The only time in Eesti Laul history juries actually changed the winner.
In 2010, Lenna had 19 votes more in round 1.
But in Round 2, Siren won instead.
In 2013, Grete Paia had the most votes in round 1, and Winny Puhh also had more votes than Birgit. Grete & Birgit made the superfinal and Birgit won in the end.
In 2014, Super Hot Cosmos Blues Band had more votes in round 1, but Tanja won in round 2.
Since then, things have been pretty stable. Having 3 people in the superfinal has contributed to that I guess. Last year came closest to causing an upset with Victor barely making the superfinal.