Who will qualify from semi 1?

[DaFlo]

Final update:

Safe


Borderline +


Borderline -


No chance

 

[GermanBango]

So I've been playing with numbers (as usual) ... the final ranking includes: my own simulation results (x2), Press center voting (x3), Qualification rates, voting patterns, current odds (x2) and youtube-views.

(100%)
(100%)
(92%)
(92%)
(84%)
(84%)
(69%)
(69%)
(69%)
(53%)
_______________________

(46%)
(38%)
(38%)
(30%)
(15%)
(7%)
(7%)
(0%)

 

[Milos-BC]

My predictions for tonight (by draw order):

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

I think will flop despite being favored by many. However if she does get in, it could be instead of

Good luck to everyone and may the best ones pass!

 

[QwaarJet]

My final list of qualifiers for tonight :

Russia
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Iceland
Czech Republic
Malta
Hungary
Cyprus
Bosnia Herzegovina
Netherlands

Netherlands, Bosnia and Azerbaijan are very borderline for me and Greece, Croatia, Austria and Estonia are all in the running.

 

[popavapeur]

Russia, Armenia, Iceland, Malta, Hungary are sure qualifiers
Croatia, Cyprus most likely
then i'll say, Czech Republic, Austria and The Netherlands (Austria being the 10th borderline qualifier, with Czech Republic at 9th)

Azerbaijan and Greece out for me.

 

[Bench]

Pretty sure about:
Also think will go further

And then it becomes very difficult I think but I really found it never so difficult to predict a semi-final like this one.
There are absolutely going to be surprises ö

 

[Avrovizyon]

 

[ag89]

Russia and Armenia. For sure.

For other songs I am scared to say anything. Open game.

 

[blein]

 

[jlsj]

Final prediction:

 

[ChrisOL]

My prediction:

Armenia
Austria
Croatia
Czech Republic
Greece
Hungary
Iceland
Malta
Russia
The Netherlands


In case Greece won't qualify, Estonia or Cyprus does.
Maybe even Hungary will fail...

 

[EvNickGR]

Russia
Armenia
Cyprus
Czech Republic
Greece
Hungary
Iceland
Malta
Netherlands
Azerbaijan

 

[Gordon_Shumway]

My last prediction (order of appearance):

Hungary
Croatia
Netherlands
Armenia
Russia (unfortunately)
Czech Republic
Austria
Estonia
Azerbaijan
Malta

Not completely sure about Netherlands and Estonia.
...and if Austria fails I will have to cry...

 

[Kairit]

Final prediction (ahhhhhh too difficult ):

 

[Kitakaze]

My final prediction: Russia, Armenia, Netherlands, Iceland, Malta, Czech Republic, Hungary, Azerbaijan, Cyprus and Croatia. Austria, Greece and Estonia next in.

I don't really mind what happens as long as Austria go through.

 

[EscGeek]

 

[blartashura]

Russia
Armenia
Croatia
Malta
Azerbaijan
Greece
Cyprus
Czech Republic
Hungary
Iceland

 

[Gordon_Shumway]

My last prediction (order of appearance):

Hungary
Croatia
Netherlands
Armenia
Russia (unfortunately)
Czech Republic
Austria
Estonia
Azerbaijan
Malta

Not completely sure about Netherlands and Estonia.
...and if Austria fails I will have to cry...

Got 9 out of 10 correct (Cyprus qualified instead of Estonia which is completely fine for me.)
And I don't have to cry.

 

[JamieBrown]

From what I've seen today, I rate the chances of the countries like this

Safe
95 % - Can't explain this, but I've seen a more than solid staging and it's a song that's considered to do rather well, but not being hyped
80 % - This is still the favourite, but all the artists are still struggling sometimes with the show, especially with the synchronicity

Almost done
75 % - Despite the song's being a hurt for most of the fans, this has a well staging, fitting vocals and still a lot of ethnic vibes
70 % - Yes, this is a strong contender for the Top 5 in general, but first of all it has to be proven that both, juries and nonfan-voters are approving this sort of unusual music
65 % - I really feel the CATS effect. An unexciting song with a anti-show. This will qualify, even if the juries have to help.
65 % - Manga is calling. Weird show, but the song has it all.

Borderline +
60 % - The same as with the dutch song. The public will have this close around the 10th position, but the juries will rank this higher.
60 % - Yes, I heard the vocalist flaw, but that Safura girl had them as well, and at her song the vocals were more important than in this one
55 % - With the vocals from today, she will fail, because then she has nothing to appeal.
55 % - It's just a matter of how many songs the juries can save.

Borderline -
50 % - The semi is strong, the song is not that easy and it's still Czechia we're talking about.
45 % - A safe qualifier. If not Jala. And it will be interesting to see the reaction towards the fence.

Have to fight
40 % - Too many things working against her imo.
35 % - This is already an approvement, just like her vocals were a bit.
30 % - There's a thing about former host countries not to qualify in the following year. Nonetheless, she has many strong opponents and the thing that makes her song better than "Il pleut de l'or" is the girl herself, so that's like not going to work out

Hoping for a miracle
10 % - Lifeless performance today
10 % - Obvious reasons
10 % - As if 2013 hasn't proved enough that dubstep & strobo lights explosions aren't made for Eurovision

The juries couldn't save Estonia and the Czech Republic profited from it
Austria fought hard and good and Greece I just overrated

8/10 - Could've been worse

 

[Kairit]

Final prediction (ahhhhhh too difficult ):

8/10... wtf I ALWAYS get 8/10 in the first semi goddamnit is definetly a shock, but I was dumb with ... :?