Juries will almost never vote for a song that could do their reputation any harm or caused any provocation beforehand - therefore no controversial songs or songs that make them look biased (except for some countries *cough cough*). Songs with a strong message are favoured.
Also, they don’t want to be a scapegoat if their opinion leads to the downgrading of a song. So they will make a safe choice and usually never vote for songs that are at the bottom of the betting odds but going the easy way and vote for songs which have a good coverage in the media by fans and professional sites.
Safe songs that fall into the category are Switzerland, Bulgaria, Lithuania, Malta, France, UK, Ireland.
Finland and Italy are borderline. Usually juries are open minded enough to vote for these songs despite the inappropriate lyrics if they are pretty high in the odds, which is the case here, but I doubt any of both get a lot of jury 12s although they will probably in their top 10.
Russia is borderline too. Western juries won’t vote for this („too political“) but Eastern probably will for know reasons.
There may be some surprises like Macedonia, because of his voice or Georgia, because it’s so alternative but both are inoffensive, so safe choice.
Both Amens on the other hand may be too religious to be a safe choice for juries, despite very good voices.
The public will vote differently of course, as already was mentioned here, the quirky dance songs or „niche songs“ that will attract a certain audience who is eager to vote for surprising acts like Denmark, Portugal or Latvia. All songs are far from what is presented at the ESC usually musicwise but will gain some „ah‘s and oh‘s“ here and there. I can even see Norway doing well with the public.
But we will see. I already stated that juries might go full bold this year and will vote differently from their usual pattern because the contest is so different this year, with pre-recorded background vocals, no big show events beforehand, staging is limited I think, so maybe some surprises will await us here too! I‘m excited!