You forget something about qualifying of Bosnia 2012 and Cyprus 2013.^
It could be this year's "Bosnia 2012". Alot of people dismissed that song's chances of even qualifying to the final because it was more of a subtle ballad than one of those typical "big" ESC ballads, but it did decently good considering all.
I much prefer this type to those overly, often shallow, Disney-ish "dramatic" ballads we tend to get.
Bosnia last year had in the same semi Serbia,Croatia,Fyrom,Slovenia,Turkey.