Well I haven't heard any of the songs in either semi-final yet, so can't make a prediction. However the running order of the semi-finals has now been decided.
The running order for semi-final 2 is: Lithuania, Ireland, San Marino, Montenegro, Malta, Norway, Portugal, Czech Republic, Israel, Latvia, Azerbaijan, Iceland, Sweden, Switzerland, Cyprus, Slovenia, Poland.
Will the running order affect which ten countries go through? Wouldn't the occurrence of a thrash metal song, or an up-beat dance-along (adult kids' Boogie Beebies big video) immediately after a sombre ballad (or vice versa) make one stand out above the other and influence whether or not one or the other goes through?