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Who will qualify from Semi Final 1

Which countries will qualify from Semi Final 1

  • :al: Albania

    116 65.5%
  • :am: Armenia

    117 66.1%
  • :by: Belarus

    95 53.7%
  • :be: Belgium

    145 81.9%
  • :dk: Denmark

    88 49.7%
  • :ee: Estonia

    159 89.8%
  • :mk: F.Y.R. Macedonia

    50 28.2%
  • :fi: Finland

    64 36.2%
  • :ge: Georgia

    136 76.8%
  • :gr: Greece

    121 68.4%
  • :hu: Hungary

    52 29.4%
  • :md: Moldova

    21 11.9%
  • :ro: Romania

    115 65.0%
  • :ru: Russia

    150 84.7%
  • :rs: Serbia

    69 39.0%
  • :nl: Netherlands

    92 52.0%

  • Total voters
    177
  • Poll closed .

DanielLuis

Well-known member
Joined
March 14, 2011
Posts
8,605
Did another prediction with scorewiz yesterday - the results are based on several polls, voting patterns, odds and 350 youtube-rankings (took me almost 3 hours):

01. :ru: 174
02. :ee: 172
03. :al: 141
04. :be: 135
05. :gr: 100
06. :ge: 84
07. :ro: 80
08. :am: 61
09. :by: 55
10. :nl: 51

11. FYR Macedonia 24
12. Serbia 23
13. Hungary 17
14. Moldova 17
15. Denmark 14
16. Finland 12

If anyone is interested, I can give you the link to the full voting.

It looks quite plausible. I'd just hope Estonia would beat Russia.
 

GermanBango

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Joined
April 13, 2012
Posts
5,413
Location
Hannover
It looks quite plausible. I'd just hope Estonia would beat Russia.

Not impossible - I think it depends on their performance but tbh it's pretty hard to beat Russia with those countries voting :lol:
 

Nikkita

Active member
Joined
October 2, 2012
Posts
1,212
Location
Izmir,Turkey
This is my prediction:
:am:
:be:
:nl:
:fi:
:ee:
:rs:
:by:
:ru:
:dk:
:ge:
 

JamieBrown

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Joined
May 31, 2013
Posts
6,421
Location
Moving through Germany
For now I say...

:al:
:am:
:be:
:by:
:dk: (Depends on the live vocals, but also juries will help a lot)
:ee:
:fi:
:ge:
:gr:
:hu: xpray
:ru:

I can't decide whom to change with :ro: and/or :rs:, definitely not Finland xmetal :lol:
 

JamieBrown

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May 31, 2013
Posts
6,421
Location
Moving through Germany
Okay, now I unvoted, because this is a semi where almost everyone stands a chance of qualifying, except :md:...I can't see, why people think the other semi is stronger, because there I have problems to find at least 10 qualifying entries and in this I even see a possibility for the :nl: and :mk:. But the others are stronger imo and so it will be between

:al: - Save
:am: - Maybe not that save, but I think they will attract both, juries and televoters, at least enough for Top 10
:by: - Look we have a dark horse in here...Also not 100 % save, but with bigger chances
:be: - Save
:dk: - As I said before, depends on the live vocals, since the singer has a voice to annoy, and the juries will also help a lot
:ee: - Save, almost
:fi: - There will be many people amazed by these guys, and the juries are voting for background-stories, so yeah...They can beat e.g. Armenia
:ge: - Save
:gr: - Greece is not Greece, if they won't qualify at least
:hu: - This have to attract the audience. The performance and stage desing have to be as simple as possible and then she will qualify with the votes of all those who are annoyed from the noises of the other countries
:ro: - 50 % save...The melody will stuck in some heads and the background story will do the rest
:ru: - Save. It's 'Mother Russia' xrofl2
:rs: - Almost save, after EiC reactions
 

Schlagerman1

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Joined
October 1, 2009
Posts
11,194
Every year I do my "guess the vote", where I guess how the countries will vote in the semis. Usually I do it in a excel sheet and can follow how the voting proceeds as I do it, but this time I did it via scorewiz, so that I take each country's jury and televoting one by one without being able to see how the final results will be till I am done. The first semi is now done and you can see the scoring here: http://tummiweb.com/scorewiz/scoreboard/view/117663/esc-2015-semi-1---guess-the-votes
Suprised about the outcome in some parts, but it is a rather possible one IMO too.

I will do a new one after the first rehearsals and will do the first one for the 2nd semi tonight or tomorrow! ;)

Damn, I forgot Australia, will update it in a bit! :lol:

EDIT: there now all votes are in there! :D
 

tuorem

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Joined
January 17, 2012
Posts
9,588
Location
GN-z11
I know Youtube views aren't trustworthy when it comes to the success of an entry in Eurovision, but I wanted to see what would be the outcome if it was based on official ESC videos as of April, 28th:

In the following order:
1.:ru: 2.:al: 3.:am: 4.:ee: 5.:ge: 6.:be: 7.:by: 8.:mk: 9.:md: 10.:rs:

Non-qualifiers:
11.:nl: 12.:gr: 13.:ro: 14.:fi: 15.:hu: 16.:dk:
 

SRBIJA

Banned
Joined
March 3, 2013
Posts
4,449
Every year I do my "guess the vote", where I guess how the countries will vote in the semis. Usually I do it in a excel sheet and can follow how the voting proceeds as I do it, but this time I did it via scorewiz, so that I take each country's jury and televoting one by one without being able to see how the final results will be till I am done. The first semi is now done and you can see the scoring here: http://tummiweb.com/scorewiz/scoreboard/view/117663/esc-2015-semi-1---guess-the-votes
Suprised about the outcome in some parts, but it is a rather possible one IMO too.

I will do a new one after the first rehearsals and will do the first one for the 2nd semi tonight or tomorrow! ;)

Damn, I forgot Australia, will update it in a bit! :lol:

EDIT: there now all votes are in there! :D

Looks interesting but there are some moments that we aren't very likely to see at actual ESC, for instance Greece getting 12 from Belgium and only 1 from Armenia. xthink Also, Romania won't finish that high I'm quite sure.
 

GRE

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Joined
December 6, 2010
Posts
8,194
Location
Greece
[MENTION=9974]NikkiBoy[/MENTION],
show us the results please. :)
Most people have voted, and it's pointless to wait until 19th of May,
especially if we consider that in rehearsals many things change !
 

NikkiBoy

Active member
Joined
March 2, 2012
Posts
1,514
[MENTION=9974]NikkiBoy[/MENTION],
show us the results please. :)
Most people have voted, and it's pointless to wait until 19th of May,
especially if we consider that in rehearsals many things change !

I'll post the result soon then
 

leli53

Member
Joined
April 16, 2015
Posts
35
My prediction is:

Belgium
Estonia
Belarus
Russia
Albania
Georgia
Denmark
The Netherlands
Serbia
Greece
 

NikkiBoy

Active member
Joined
March 2, 2012
Posts
1,514
The result (18 days before the contest starts!!!) of Semi Final 1 in order:

The Ten Qualifires according to ESCunited-fans:

:ee: Estonia - 133 votes
:ru: Russia - 124 votes
:be: Belgium - 120 votes
:ge: Georgia - 117 votes
:am: Armenia - 99 votes
:ro: Romania - 99 votes
:gr: Greece - 98 votes
:al: Albania - 92 votes
:by: Belarus - 86 votes
:nl: The Netherlands - 77 votes

The Non-Qualifires:

:dk: Denmark - 74 votes
:rs: Serbia - 58 votes
:fi: Finland - 56 votes
:mk: FYR Macedonia - 40 votes
:hu: Hungary - 38 votes
:md: Moldova - 19 votes
 

GRE

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Joined
December 6, 2010
Posts
8,194
Location
Greece
[MENTION=9974]NikkiBoy[/MENTION], thank you :)
I am really curious to see how things are in the 2nd Semifinal :)
 

NikkiBoy

Active member
Joined
March 2, 2012
Posts
1,514
[MENTION=9974]NikkiBoy[/MENTION], thank you :)
I am really curious to see how things are in the 2nd Semifinal :)

The result is also up in the other thread.

And to everybody, you can still vote for your favorite, maybe something will change when the rehearsals is up? :geek:
 
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