the beauty of eurovision is, indeed, that anything could happen. i had portugal as "long way to go" and they did it! it was clearly not in their initial plans, but they did it. i will now amend my prediction, starting with the top 10 most likely at this point:
still keeping latvia in the top 10 despite this year. supernova had a lot of quality and triana park was a solid choice that just didn't work.
also, the other countries, with some going up and others going down
they have everything but nobody wants them to win:
(i'd be very surprised if ebu didn't give ukraine this treatment after the julia debacle)
have shown exemplary entry selection sometimes this decade, they just need more determination:
strong entry selection, but presentation often lacks appeal:
(i actually still believe malta wins soon beecause DESTINY IS ELIGIBLE NEXT YEARRRRR but this year was such a mess and it's clear they are saving effort for the future)
the potential is there but it's brought down by wrong decisions in all stages:
might randomly win with no effort because they pick entries out of a hat:
just did super well despite a weak national final, no idea what happens now:
the effort in entry selection is there but it's very misguided:
lack a bit of everything but aren't hopeless:
have a long way to go to even start considering a victory:
will never win if they don't accept they are doing everything wrong:
they have everything to win but are too whiny to come back:
of course, even spain could luck out like portugal did, but the stars don't aliign like this so often.