I'm not the biggest fan of the song and I certainly wouldn't like to go to Moscow/Petersburg/Sochi/Perm next year, and I'm also very aware that there's only been 6 rehearsals so far, but I definitely think that Russia could nail it this year. We'll have to see what France's staging is like. There's also the strong possibility that the viewers will see through it as a copy of Mans' playing with the projector, so hopefully that'll work against it.
And as much as I don't want this to win (because it's basically a soulless, eurovision-by-numbers winner), I would be happy if it won, as I think Russian Television would be strong enough to shove off any influences from Stockholm.