My overview for the final:
Elisa - Medo de Sentir
Slow ballad that picks up a bit during the bridge, but remains very poised. It doesn't have very powerful melodies, but it's not a drawback either. Production for this piece is really quite pretty. As such, I can see why people like this one a lot, it's just ticking all the boxes. None of it is actually great however and I feel like this is just going to drown if it reaches the final as there are going to be far better ballads there. For getting out of the semis this song should suffice. It's a completely valid choice to make for Portugal.
Tomás Luzia - Mais Real Que o Amor
I have no idea why this is here. It's really all very 'baby's first ballad'-like. The melodies seem unoriginal and not particularly strong, they feel very 90s. Production here is pretty, but again it really does sound very 90s. The dude who performs this also is just passable (both his singing and stage presence are so-so). This is just filler and should not be in the conversation to win.
Bárbara Tinoco - Passe-Partout
Song is fine, it's cute, melodically strong, production is tasteful, staging wasn't quite there but it's fixable. This is just a really strong entry. But, but, but, but, but, there's an issue here. I should like Barbara. I should be smitten by her actually. I'm not. She's very pretty, wearing a cute yellow dress, singing a song I like, so what's going on here? She looks arrogant as shit and I finally know what it is. She constantly drops her head in between her shoulders and has these little Trump-like mannerisms with her hand and her facial expressions are strangely dismissive. I get that this arrogance is a part of the song, but for me as the viewer this dismissive attitude seems to be aimed at me. I don't know, but she's just dropping votes with that attitude. This should still be one of the stronger entries Portugal has on their roster, but it's risky business sending this.
Kady - Diz só
This is a fine piece of latin R&B, everything is there, but we're past that aren't we? This is 20 years late and I don't actually mind that, but this isn't bringing anything new to the table so it's just not really grabbing my attention. I spent my time watching that one really pretty backing vocalist. That's not a good sign. This is high quality filler, but filler it is.
Felipe Sambado - Gerbera Amarela do Sul
I can't see this song from any neutral point of view anymore. From all songs this ESC season this is the one I have listened to the most by quite a margin. I loved this song the first time I heard it and the love has only grown. I had my doubts about the staging and then Felipe knocks that one straight out of the park as well. It's exactly as strange as the song itself is. I just can't predict how this would be received at ESC.
Elisa Rodrigues - Não voltes mais
I like this song a lot. Everything is there, it has pretty lush production with fantastic guitar parts, melodies are all just nice and soothing. The jazzy part in the bridge is magnificent. For some reason though this just won't stick with a lot of people. Staging during the semis was also very iffy. The song has this summery feel to it, like when you're sitting in the sun for a while and this sweet lethargy and drowsiness befalls you. It's hard to express in English. Anyway, they should try to replicate that feeling in the staging. A sunset on a beach or something. What they're doing now just doesn't work at all. Think that if they can get the staging right this is a solid choice, but there are just better choices to make so this is just filler then.
Jimmy P - Abensonhado
I've stated before and will do so again: this song fails. You are reaching no one with the message this song may have, it's incomprehensible to most. If you're not Portuguese you're just looking at a rapper for a minute who then goes on to do a couple of bars of 'sorry mama' (like we haven't heard that before) and after that we're back at looking at this dude talking for two minutes while some gospel shit is going on during the last minute. Total bathroom break. Don't send this, it's hopeless.
Throes + The Shine - Movimento
If it looks dumb and it sounds dumb, is it dumb? It literally takes like 2 hours to create a song like this. Everything is just plastered onto the track without care of how these parts might work together and some dude is 'singing' some stuff over this and somehow people think it's good? This is trash, juries will give this 0 points and televoters will have much better stuff to vote for. If anything, this thing is automatic harakiri because it runs into Czechia's Kemama. It will bomb hard at ESC. Really bad choice.
So yeah, I see Gerbera as the rightful winner, but that's just me dreaming of castles in the sky. After that it's a toss-up between Passe-Partout and Medo. Of those two I think Passe-Partout has the higher ceiling, so I think that one should be chosen.