Ireland IRELAND 2024 - Bambie Thug - Doomsday Blue

[ESC United Mod Team]

 

[han-g]

This will ether flop extremely hard or finish top 5 in the semi and get a nice televote score in the final. Nothing inbetween, no borderline Q or whatever. The only thing borderline about this entry is that girl herself probably. Would still date her tho.

You are forgetting Irish diaspora plus fandom.I do believe that with a bit of luck this can borderline if it flops with casuals- like Serbia 2023

 

[ViVillRejv]

It has grown on me to become an 8, but it took many listens for that to happen... I want Ireland to qualify to the GF out of principle for sending something as risky and left-field as this (similar to Portugal with Telemoveis in 2019 imo) but the song and its screeching is divisive...

 

[MopManMoss]

Can't wait to vote for this 20 times in may and be a massive hypocrite after moaning about diaspora voting for years

 

[Israeliboy]

0pt from me

 

[Cathan]

And with the latest vote Ireland now has the most votes of any country in this years line up in it's poll with 181, just beating Croatia's 180

 

[MopManMoss]

And with the latest vote Ireland now has the most votes of any country in this years line up in it's poll with 181, just beating Croatia's 180

Whatever happens in May I'm glad that our entry actually makes people feel something for a change, I'd rather have people hate our entry than the usual indifference

 

[Grinch]

is in my top10 but I don't see it qualifying. People probably will see it as a bad joke.

 

[MopManMoss]

is in my top10 but I don't see it qualifying. People probably will see it as a bad joke.

After golden cameltoe Morrisons roast advert the only way is up in my eyes

 

[SarahM]

is in my top10 but I don't see it qualifying. People probably will see it as a bad joke.

I think staging could help or hinder it. Bad, cheap staging could make it come across as a joke. I do have confidence this year as Bambie's team seem to have creative control

 

[Cathan]

Anyone who think's this wont qualify are not living in the real world

Only a complete disaster of a performance would put this at risk of NQing.

 

[0scar]

Isn't the song itself a complete disaster?
Don't get me wrong, I really like that it's something different and daring for a chance, it is just really not my cup of tea and I can easily see this NQing

 

[SpiritofKeiino]

Anyone who think's this wont qualify are not living in the real world

Only a complete disaster of a performance would put this at risk of NQing.

Yep

I think SF1 is easier to qualify from than SF2. Azerbaijan and Iceland feel to me like almost certain NQs. I also think Cyprus and Poland are in danger in the first half. And in the second half, I think Australia and Luxembourg are at risk (I'm not writing off Moldova yet). I'm not convinced about Portugal either.

Ireland stands out enough to qualify. I think all of the countries above have lower Q chance than Ireland.

 

[Cathan]

Isn't the song itself a complete disaster?
Don't get me wrong, I really like that it's something different and daring for a chance, it is just really not my cup of tea and I can easily see this NQing

Saying a song is a disaster or not is a matter of opinion.

It doesn't really matter if it's youre cup of tea or not, it's still going to qualify and saying it won't is just setting yourself up to be suprprised/disappointed.

Tbh I hope this doubt is reflected in the qualifying betting odds as anything longer than 2.00 in the odds (essentially 50%) and I'm throwing the mortgage at it, easiest money I'll ever make!

 

[Cathan]

Yep

I think SF1 is easier to qualify from than SF2. Azerbaijan and Iceland feel to me like almost certain NQs. I also think Cyprus and Poland are in danger in the first half. And in the second half, I think Australia and Luxembourg are at risk (I'm not writing off Moldova yet). I'm not convinced about Portugal either.

Ireland stands out enough to qualify. I think all of the countries above have lower Q chance than Ireland.

Bar a complete disaster of a performance Ireland should beat pretty much every song mentioned here (although with Poland's diaspora it wouldn't surprise me if they finish higher than expected). This doesnt even include countries like Slovenia and Serbia who i'd expect Ireland to beat also.

 

[0scar]

Saying a song is a disaster or not is a matter of opinion.

It doesn't really matter if it's youre cup of tea or not, it's still going to qualify and saying it won't is just setting yourself up to be suprprised/disappointed.

Tbh I hope this doubt is reflected in the qualifying betting odds as anything longer than 2.00 in the odds (essentially 50%) and I'm throwing the mortgage at it, easiest money I'll ever make!

Nah I don't really think the song is a disaster, that was just lame joke of me. Still not my cup of tea though.
I would be really thrilled to see Ireland back in the final, even more when they decided to send something different, I hope that pushes them to stop sending the most beige songs like they did the past couple of years.

So no disappointment for me if it qualifies, I hope you're not setting yourself up for disappointment because Doomsday Blue doesn't click with a lot of people instantly this IS in danger of NQing.

 

[han-g]

Bar a complete disaster of a performance Ireland should beat pretty much every song mentioned here (although with Poland's diaspora it wouldn't surprise me if they finish higher than expected). This doesnt even include countries like Slovenia and Serbia who i'd expect Ireland to beat also.

I think luxembourg is getting the pimp slot so I wouldn't rule out them getting a higher televote score than Ireland. And of course we have yet to hear the revamp.

 

[Cathan]

Nah I don't really think the song is a disaster, that was just lame joke of me. Still not my cup of tea though.
I would be really thrilled to see Ireland back in the final, even more when they decided to send something different, I hope that pushes them to stop sending the most beige songs like they did the past couple of years.

So no disappointment for me if it qualifies, I hope you're not setting yourself up for disappointment because Doomsday Blue doesn't click with a lot of people instantly this IS in danger of NQing.

Oh okay no worries!

Yeah I get that part!

The point is it's the sort of song that will click with a lot of people, it also has a strong USP and is the only real song of its type in the semi so there's very little reason why it wouldn't Q in a 100% semi final where you cant vote down a song. The only way I see it NQing is if it has a complete disaster of a live performance. Yes it may not click with everyone but it will definetly click with enough people to Q. The amount of people it clicks with will determine if it only finishes 7th-8th in the SF or if it finishes 3rd-5th.

 

[Cathan]

I think luxembourg is getting the pimp slot so I wouldn't rule out them getting a higher televote score than Ireland. And of course we have yet to hear the revamp.

Unless there is some dodgy voting going on (i.e the same sort of thing San Marino are known for getting themselves involved in) then no I don't see it even with the pimp slot bar an incredible revamp. All the pimp slot will do is push Luxembourg from 11th-12th up to 8th-9th place. Songs like Fighter just don't tend to get massive televotes, they tend to get decent borderline sort of TV's and then get a strong jury score and Q of course there is no jury in this SF.

 

[SpiritofKeiino]

Unless there is some dodgy voting going on (i.e the same sort of thing San Marino are known for getting themselves involved in) then no I don't see it even with the pimp slot bar an incredible revamp. All the pimp slot will do is push Luxembourg from 11th-12th up to 8th-9th place. Songs like Fighter just don't tend to get massive televotes, they tend to get decent borderline sort of TV's and then get a strong jury score and Q of course there is no jury in this SF.

Tali isn't a particularly compelling performer either, based on the NF performance.

 

[han-g]

Unless there is some dodgy voting going on (i.e the same sort of thing San Marino are known for getting themselves involved in) then no I don't see it even with the pimp slot bar an incredible revamp. All the pimp slot will do is push Luxembourg from 11th-12th up to 8th-9th place. Songs like Fighter just don't tend to get massive televotes, they tend to get decent borderline sort of TV's and then get a strong jury score and Q of course there is no jury in this SF.

Well I do, I'm sorry Ireland I can't see many casuals warming to this quickly enough with just one listen. Is the irish diaspora plus fandom enough to see this qualify. It was enough for Serbia last year, but that's because the televote pulled very hard towards 9 songs. I don't think that will happen this year so Ireland is very much in borderline territory.

Actually I could potentially see a world where Moldova Australia and Azerbaijan (3 countries who can often pull staging out of the bag) in addition to luxembourg get more votes than Ireland, I could see the reverse happening too but its far from the certainty you're claming