ESC United Mod Team
Super Moderator
- Joined
- February 10, 2021
- Posts
- 214
They would never do such a dumb thing tbh1st half running order has spooked a few people. I've even seen suggestions it could be put on 1st.
Yeah I think it's more likely to be placed 9-13th.They would never do such a dumb thing tbh
I agree, the song doesn't give me winner vibes, can't picture it winning.it's drifting cause it's not winning. The song is still... just fine. It definitely can reach top 5, top 3 at best though.
it's drifting cause it's not winning. The song is still... just fine.
They are drifting because it's the odds from yesterday, there are nearly no change on sunday.Why the hell are France's odds drifting?
Ok, I just needed to rewrite my whole state of mind lmao.
To be honest, I don't think that the song is just fine as it stands - the performance elevates it so much that it makes sense everyone keeps betting on it.
It does have that little "je ne sais quoi" to it that encompasses what everyone loves about France - this year's contestants that make me feel the exact same would be Finland and Spain. Sweden? So high in the odds? Yeah, a safe bet is that they're betting on Loreen for the sake of betting on Loreen. She won once, the hype is real.
But most people have been adamant about La Zarra's chances since the pre-parties and the first rehearsals, so was I. I wouldn't be surprised at all if she pulled off a Duncan Laurence's.
That being said, I'm pretty delighted to see that our Alexandra Redde-Amiel nationale finally succeeded in understanding the ins and outs of ESC. We're here to witness a turning point in France's ESC history. And I have to give a fucking round of applause to our delegation for that.But we can agree on one thing, FranceTv did a very good job with the staging this year and it could be our best staging in the last 10y, I would say better than Edith Piaf in 2021.
A fanflop while being 3rd in the odds one week before the grand final? sureI'm convinced La Zarra will slay with that outfit but France remains a fanflop until the opposite has proven true.
We'd already witnessed it in 2021That being said, I'm pretty delighted to see that our Alexandra Redde-Amiel nationale finally succeeded in understanding the ins and outs of ESC. We're here to witness a turning point in France's ESC history. And I have to give a fucking round of applause to our delegation for that.
Yup. It's a three horse race with her being the least likely of the three, but still a contender.Back to your statement about our song, I do think that the climax is the best part of the entry. HOWEVER (and that's a big HOWEVER I'm putting in right now), we shouldn't underestimate the power of this song. In my opinion, a song doesn't need to be a full power-blast from start to finish like Kaarija's or Loreen's. And we've yet to see the full performance on TV, which already looks promising on TV.
That's why I'm a bit reluctant considering La Zarra out of the running for the crystal trophy, we may be in for a huge surprise.
I think in general people aren't underestimating a French victory, actually many people around here think she's a real contender. In my opinion, and let me clarify first that she's my favourite, I don't get impressed by platforms, fire and stuff anymore but more by the performance itself. They need to focus on her and her facial expressions and moves (that I think will be a bit limited because of being stuck on a platform) and, of course, she needs to be vocally on point. The rest is just there, and won't make her win because we have already seen a lot of that in the past. What matters is what she sells, and what she's capable of transmiting to the viewers so they pick up the phone and vote for her.I think many people are underestimating France's winning potential. Why do I say this?
- From what we've seen so far, she has at least 5 ICONIC visual shots. Sweden and Finland both have 1-2. From a visual aspect, France is very close to, or even at #1
- The song. There is no other "classy, cultural" song in this year's contest that also has the mainstream appeal. Hence the strong showing in the Eurojury and OGAE results. Again, very close, or even at #1
Of course we haven't seen the full package, and this could completely change 180. Alot depends on La Zarra's singing ability, live perfomance aspect, camera cuts etc. However, while Sweden and Finland have already shown most of their cards, France has not.
In the last 30 days her odds rankings have increased from #9 to now #3-4, so she's the only one with this kind of momentum going in to Eurovision week. At 20-1 odds, this is a clear value bet to me.