Eurovision Betting Odds 2012

[Galandar]

How can they predict it without knowing the songs? :?

 

[penguinperson]

How can they predict it without knowing the songs? :?

It's a win market and obviously Albania isn't tempting. No songs seem preferable to a weak song that can't be changed but just edited.

 

[MyHeartIsYours]

Current odds:


Top10
1. Turkey - 9
2. Greece - 9.2
3. Russia - 9.2
4. Denmark - 9.2
5. Azerbaijan - 10.5
6. Italy - 11
7. Sweden - 12
8. Serbia - 13
9. Bosnia and Herzegovina - 14
10. Norway - 14

Big5+1
1. Azerbaijan - 10.5
2. Italy - 11
3. Germany - 17
4. United Kingdom - 17.5
5. France - 21
6. Spain - 26

Bottom5
39. Malta - 34
40. Portugal - 34
41. San Marino - 34
42. Switzerland - 36
43. Albania - 44

 

[Matt]

The big 5 (plus host) are in the exact order of how their placing in 2011

 

[MyHeartIsYours]

The big 5 (plus host) are in the exact order of how their placed in 2011

Oh yes I didnt notice that!

 

[CC92]

Current odds:
Bottom5
39. Malta - 34
40. Portugal - 34
41. San Marino - 34
42. Switzerland - 36
43. Albania - 44

Funny how they think Switzerland will 'come' closer to victory than Albania.

The big 5 (plus host) are in the exact order of how their placing in 2011

Only if you look at the jury results. Do not they bet on the voting results as well?

 

[MyHeartIsYours]

Well I dont think that either Switzerland or Albania have a chance of winning, as it comes closer to the time they'll go up to like 100/1 I reckon!

Only if you look at the jury results. Do not they bet on the voting results as well?

No they're in their order from the voting results - Azerbaijan won, Italy second, Germany 10th, United Kingdom 11th, France 15th, Spain 23rd!

 

[CC92]

Well I dont think that either Switzerland or Albania have a chance of winning, as it comes closer to the time they'll go up to like 100/1 I reckon!

Yes, that is likely! But I think Albania has at least chances to qualify through the final and not to end up last.

Only if you look at the jury results. Do not they bet on the voting results as well?

No they're in their order from the voting results - Azerbaijan won, Italy second, Germany 10th, United Kingdom 11th, France 15th, Spain 23rd!

You are wrong, those are the resulted with jury counted. Apart from that Azerbaijan came 1st, United Kingdom 5th, Germany 9th, Italy 11th, France 15th and Spain 16th.
I think they should use seperated lists and also allow betting on who gets saved by the jury, largest gap televote/jury, etc.

 

[Matt]

You are wrong, those are the resulted with jury counted. Apart from that Azerbaijan came 1st, United Kingdom 5th, Germany 9th, Italy 11th, France 15th and Spain 16th.
I think they should use seperated lists and also allow betting on who gets saved by the jury, largest gap televote/jury, etc.

What we were referring to is that the current odds are in line with the 2011 results which is what matters in the end.

The betting system you suggest doesn't really make sense. You bet on the country you think is going to win, why would they separate the odds that way? And the jury isn't saving anyone. It's a 50/50 system.

 

[Salmon]

Albania last??

 

[Narmina]

I don't believe this odds at all

 

[Mickey]

Albania last??

As said above, it's a market for the winner. A song that is unlikely to win is always going to be rated below a country who could yet enter something amazing.

 

[Fichko]

Betting Odds sucks !

 

[MyHeartIsYours]

A new favourite!

Top10
1. Denmark - 6.4
2. Greece - 9.2
3. Turkey - 9.2
4. Russia - 9.2
5. Azerbaijan - 10.5
6. Sweden - 12
7. Italy - 12
8. Serbia - 13
9. Norway - 14
10. Bosnia and Herzegovina - 14

Big5+1
1. Azerbaijan - 10.5
2. Italy - 12
3. Spain - 15
4. France - 16
5. Germany - 17
6. United Kingdom 17.5

Bottom5
39. Malta - 34
40. Portugal - 34
41. San Marino - 34
42. Switzerland - 38
43. Albania - 50

 

[Salmon]

Cyprus not last??

This has no chance of winning, I hardly doubt about the final qualification...

 

[MyHeartIsYours]

No, Cyprus is nearly in the Top 10 . They're at 16 - I've not heard the song yet so I cant comment .

 

[ParadiseES]

OK making odds with only 4 songs (FOUR!!!) known is too much...

 

[Salmon]

No, Cyprus is nearly in the Top 10 . They're at 16 - I've not heard the song yet so I cant comment .

:shock: That could win?? Those odds are slowly getting odd...

 

[MyHeartIsYours]

:shock: That could win?? Those odds are slowly getting odd...

Well who knows, it might win!

 

[MyHeartIsYours]

There's been a few changes to the favourites over the weekend:

Top10
1. Serbia - 9
2. Turkey - 9.2
3. Greece - 9.4
4. Russia - 9.4
5. Armenia - 9.6 (Maybe Armenia will win in Azerbaijan! )
6. Denmark - 11
7. Azerbaijan - 11
8. Sweden - 12
9. Italy - 13
10. Bosnia and Herzegovina - 14

Big5+1
1. Azerbaijan - 11
2. Italy - 13
3. Spain - 15
4. Germany - 17
5. United Kingdom - 17.5
6. France - 30 (big decline)

Bottom5
39. Malta - 34
40. Portugal - 34
41. San Marino - 34
42. Switzerland - 42
43. Albania - 60