I think I've decided on the ten countries I think will qualify tonight...in no particular order...

Sweden

Russia

Azerbaijan

Albania

Switzerland

Netherlands

Norway

Romania

Malta

Austria (I think it might just slip through)
Borderline: North Macedonia, Lithuania, Denmark, Armenia
Out: Latvia, Croatia, Ireland, Moldova
I'm a little unsure about Armenia, Lithuania, Denmark and North Macedonia though. They could maybe slip through I'm not sure.
I'm curious what Malta's staging is like, because it seems like the kind of song that could fail if the staging isn't done right or if the performance isn't strong. I'm also wondering if maybe we're overrating Romania a little bit this year, I definitely wouldn't place it as a sure qualifier...