Kitakaze
Active member
I'm going with Ukraine, Australia, Bulgaria, Latvia, Serbia, Israel, Belgium, Poland, Norway and Lithuania. I hope no Georgia.
My prediction:
1. Ukraine
2. Latvia
3. Australia
4. Bulgaria
5. Norway
6. Poland
7. Macedonia
8. Serbia
9. Belgium
10. Israel
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11. Belarus
12. Lithuania
13. Slovenia
14. Switzerland
15. Denmark
16. Albania
17. Georgia
18. Ireland
Honestly this semi was a lot better than the first :?
Last prediction:
(I mean I'm really not sure about or anyone, but I feel like will be this semi's )
My calculation for semi 2...
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10.
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11.
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14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
Heard the rehearsals last night and did what I've done with semi 1 as well...
Safe
95 % - Many will be happy to have the Ukraine back and Jamala is one of the strongest contenders in this year
90 % - I can't imagine the situation when Australia will not be announced, but there's the chance for every country
90 % - She get's one of the dark horses more and more. Top 10 in the final for sure, maybe even more.
85 % - The equivalent of Hungary in semi 1. Good performance, and the song seems solid as well.
Almost done
80 % - She seems to be born for the Eurovision stage. Most likely she will perform twice.
80 % - Still a smaller favourite of the whole event to me.
75 % - Another vocal performance that will blew the masses away.
70 % - He knows what to do to get the votes.
Borderline +
60 % - Maybe she becomes a 2nd Mei Feingold, but she has the same bonus as the Ukraine, maybe even bigger.
60 % - It's not only the last spot, it's also the songs that will perform before her, so she can wake up the audience.
Borderline -
55 % - This is the first country we have to think about, when one of ones above will perform badly.
50 % - Like it or not, but Ireland is either going to follow the israeli history of the latest years or will be saved by some juries this time.
Have to fight
40 % - Despite being the most eurovisionary song of the evening, I still cannot see this qualifying and becoming another shocking NQ.
20 % - The possibility is there, that the audience will like this. Still an unlikely qualifier.
20 % - Only if the people get attracted by the show, even if they don't have to understand it.
Hoping for a miracle
15 % - She works quite okay until the ultimate chorus. Then she proves that she's far from being a 2nd Celine.
10 % - Albanians will vote for this, but no one else will like this bland plastic revamp.
5 % - The only possibility for a last place imo.
In the end everything will turn and all the qualifiers we consider to be safe in this worse semi, will fail :twisted:
Final update:
Safe
Borderline +
Borderline -
No chance
100%
100%
93%
87%
87%
87%
80%
73%
53%
53%
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40%
40%
33%
20%
20%
13%
7%
7%
Super safe:
Looking good:
Borderline:
Will be difficult for:
Perhaps too much heart in this prediction and not enough gut... but I don't care I believe Macedonia and Georgia both have a very good chance tonight so i'll predict them over Israel and Belgium, who perhaps look more likely qualifiers. I actually think Lithuania could miss out. I might regret having them down over Israel
My guess for tomorrow night
The last place could also go to
Let's see how well I do tonight. Predictions by draw order:
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10.