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Who will qualify from semi 2?

Who will qualify from semi 2?

  • Albania

    12 9.3%
  • Australia

    116 89.9%
  • Belarus

    13 10.1%
  • Belgium

    51 39.5%
  • Bulgaria

    86 66.7%
  • Denmark

    58 45.0%
  • F.Y.R. Macedonia

    63 48.8%
  • Georgia

    16 12.4%
  • Ireland

    32 24.8%
  • Israel

    33 25.6%
  • Latvia

    109 84.5%
  • Lithuania

    89 69.0%
  • Norway

    97 75.2%
  • Poland

    90 69.8%
  • Romania

    49 38.0%
  • Serbia

    106 82.2%
  • Slovenia

    13 10.1%
  • Switzerland

    23 17.8%
  • Ukraine

    116 89.9%

  • Total voters
    129
  • Poll closed .

Chorizo

Well-known member
Joined
May 9, 2014
Posts
4,346
We are still waiting for Bulgaria but we already have a poll! ;)

So who do you think will qualify from semi 2?
 

Leydan

Super Moderator 🌴
Staff member
Joined
March 1, 2013
Posts
18,842
Location
UK
100%
:ua::ro::rs::lt::lv:

50%
:au::mk::pl::dk::no::sl::ch::il:

0%
:by::ie::al::be::ge:
 

Terence

Active member
Joined
January 30, 2012
Posts
4,182
Location
Malta
People predicting Bulgaria to qualify already :?
 

QwaarJet

ESC Moderator
Joined
March 27, 2010
Posts
9,209
Location
Kilmacolm,Scotland
These polls seem a bit strange since we are missing a song in each one. I'll predict here, but won't vote until Bulgaria is out.

Nailed on qualifiers : Australia, Latvia, Serbia, Norway, Romania, Ukraine

Likely qualifiers : Lithuania, Macedonia, Ireland

Borderline : Poland, Belgium, Slovenia

Unlikely : Belarus, Switzerland, Georgia

No chance in hell : Israel, Albania, Denmark

I'll predict 10 qualifiers and will then adjust based on Bulgaria's song.

Australia
Latvia
Serbia
Norway
Romania
Ukraine
Lithuania
Macedonia
Poland
Slovenia
 

Cyberbliss

Member
Joined
July 10, 2014
Posts
804
Location
Milano
Most likely:

:ua: :au: :lv:

Very few degrees of separation from the top:

:rs: :no:

Middle of the road:

:pl: :lt: :mk: :ro: :ch: :be: :ie:

Sorry, I got lost:

:al: :dk: :by:

Try again:

:il: :ge: :sl:


I have a feeling :bg: song will be quite good.

It also seems that my favourite :al: will soon be out in spite of :pl: and :ro: but, hey, a trash quote in the final is needed. xjason
 

megzpegz

Member
Joined
January 18, 2016
Posts
489
Ukraine, Australia, latvia, norway, serbia, Romania, macedonia ( urgh), poland, denmark and Lithuania is who I think will qualify.
 

ParadiseES

Well-known member
Joined
October 3, 2009
Posts
15,047
Location
Zaragoza (Spain)
Sure qualifiers: :at: :dk: :lv: :pl: :no: :rs: :ua:

Almost sure qualifier: :mk: :ro:

If :bg: is strong enough to qualify, it will probably take :lt: place

Too difficult to see anyone else qualifying over all these countries. :ge: is maybe the only one who could surprise, but I don't think so.
 

ParadiseES

Well-known member
Joined
October 3, 2009
Posts
15,047
Location
Zaragoza (Spain)
Just like I did with the first semifinal, this is my new prediction:

- Latvia and Ukraine will dominate the televoting. Serbia will win the jury vote. These three and Australia will be the top-4.

- Norway, Poland, Bulgaria (if it's good) and FYR Macedonia are safe.

- There are three countries for the last two spots in the final: Lithuania (I can see Donny bombing the televote, but the juries will sink him), Denmark and Romania (both in the edge).

- I just can't see anyone else qualifying.

- Albania, Israel and Slovenia will probably be the bottom-3, the latter with the most chances to take the last place.
 

Adeline

Active member
Joined
April 13, 2011
Posts
338
Location
Somewhere in Europe
In no particular order:
:au:
:dk:
:lv:
:lt:
:mk:
:no:
:pl:
:ro:
:rs:
:ua:

Of course we don't know Bulgaria's song yet. If that one's good then I can see that one in the place of either :dk:, :lt: or perhaps :ro:.
I can't see all the others qualify. I think :ge: gives off the most 'dark horse' vibes, but even with good staging I think it will still be too alternative to get mass appeal.
 

GermanBango

Well-known member
Joined
April 13, 2012
Posts
5,413
Location
Hannover
Now that we know all the songs I did the calculation/simulation exactly as I did for Semi 1 (including odds, several fan polls, qualifying-rates and voting patterns)
These are the results:
 

i anixi

Well-known member
Joined
March 20, 2011
Posts
2,291
Can´t see Lithuania and Latvia qualyfying. Not one nor the other and certainly not both of them. That said, this semi is indeed the weaker one, with too many expendable songs/countries.
 

Chorizo

Well-known member
Joined
May 9, 2014
Posts
4,346
I voted for :au: :bg: :mk: :lv: :lt: :no: :pl: :ro: :rs: :ua:.
 
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