Germany GERMANY 2015 - Ann Sophie – Black Smoke

[Franco]

The odds are really depressing

Odds have some inertia of their own. They have been going for months now, so they don't react by the minute to the last events.

 

[GermanBango]

Odds have some inertia of their own. They have been going for months now, so they don't react by the minute to the last events.

Don't know about that - Look at France. She just had her rehearsal and her odds are already shortening

 

[GermanBango]

Now meet and great with Ann Sophie:
http://www.eurovision.tv/page/webtv?program=132883

 

[Gordon_Shumway]

Ann Sophie handled that press conference absolutely professionally!!! Impressive!

 

[Franco]

 

[Scooby]

She is great. Good job Ann Sophie.

 

[GermanBango]

Loved her entrance on the red carpet

 

[Scooby]

Loved her entrance on the red carpet

Me too. She is sooo hot

 

[Grinch]

Perfection! My fav didn't disappoint me She improved her vocal. Black & gold is the right choice.

 

[Franco]

Interview on the red carpet:

and after the first rehearsal:

 

[Gordon_Shumway]

http://esctracker.com/odds
Currently rank 29 in this list. According to that, "Black Smoke" would not even pass the semifinal if it had to compete there.
After all the positive reactions to the rehearsing yesterday, even I find that a little hard to understand.
One other country seems to know how to impress an audience: France (climbing 15 places).

 

[Musicosity]

I still wonder why Ann Sophie is so keen on the strict-teacher look. A different hairstyle could add a little more to her charme. A different belt too, the one she chose is a bit armor-style. As if she half-heartedly tried to join this year's female warriors' club.

Everything else looks good so far.

 

[Franco]

http://esctracker.com/odds
Currently rank 29 in this list. According to that, "Black Smoke" would not even pass the semifinal if it had to compete there.
After all the positive reactions to the rehearsing yesterday, even I find that a little hard to understand.
One other country seems to know how to impress an audience: France (climbing 15 places).

I think there is a hint for that on this betting site:
http://sofabet.com/2015/05/17/eurovision-2015-may-17-rehearsals/
The eurovision.tv excerpt came from the powerful final minute when she’s joined on stage by four drummer boys in beige. What that clip didn’t show you was the rather long two minutes that leads up to this climax. ‘N’oubliez Pas’ remains a dated song lacking any real hook.

The french snippet was from the best part of the performance, while the german one was from a rather uneventful moment. Even I expected more when I saw it (my previous message), but that was before I saw the pictures, which were telling a different story than the snippet.
Furthermore, I've followed all of Ann Sophie's journey until the rehearsal. I've seen the changes in the different performances. Thus, I know that her performance is probably going to be very much like the one at Schlag den Raab, and I can put together this and the rehearsal pictures and have a good guess of what we'll see on 23rd.

The betters know none of this. They don't have seen her performances so far, and maybe they haven't even seen the pictures. If they've only seen the snippet, it's reasonable that Germany hasn't climbed the odds like France.

 

[Gordon_Shumway]

[MENTION=9589]Franco[/MENTION]: xgood
What you explained seems quite logic and understandable. xthank
One could really think that Ann Sophie's chances would be much better if there were more people like you who know and understand all those ESC "mechanisms" (you know what I mean?) so well. It's always interesting to read your posts!

Something else: The text in your signature is from "I feed you my love" by Margaret Berger, right? I loved that song and the singer so much, still get goosebumps every time I watch videos with her performances from 2013.

 

[Franco]

Thanks! [MENTION=6086]Gordon_Shumway[/MENTION]
Yes, it's from the song of the electropop Goddess, Margaret Berger. My all time favourite eurovision entry.

 

[Franco]

To lighten up the mood: the NRK broadcaster aired a show similar to the swedish one: Adresse Wien.

http://tv.nrk.no/serie/melodi-grand-prix-tv/MUHU02008415/16-05-2015

These are the results of the panel voting:

Keep in mind that this was aired on 16th, before the rehearsal. Still, I find that such a low ranking is very much harsh and unjustified.
We'll see how it ends: saturday is very close. Go Ann Sophie!

 

[GlamSIMorous]

Thats a very weird voting ... No Slovenia and San Marino in? :O What the hell ...?

 

[Musicosity]

Germany last?

Slovenia out?

 

[GermanBango]

gooooooosh Scandinavia !!!!

 

[hdplus]

Bets only show how many people think that this song could win. And I agree, Black Smoke isn´t a winner song. Songs like UK or Finland are so high not because they might get on this rank. They could flop or be in the top. And songs like Germany or Czech Republic won´t get that low, it´s only because the song is not that interesting/exciting and countries like Czech Republic have the problem that they have a bad history on ESC side, so guys who bet don´t bet on this country, because it seems like nobody likes that country (which isn´t true!!!!).