Winner predictions?

[alca]

After tonight, I'm gonna go with Sweden!

 

[GermanBango]

no doubts left

 

[Halldor]

Except the Common Linnets, along with Conchita after semi 2, became the talk of the town, the big buzz. Loic has not. Russia and even Serbia have out shadowed him in terms of attention. All the press the next day was talking about Russia and Serbia saw and even bigger bounce in the odds.

Yet Belgium is 6th in betting odds and is still rising, Serbia went from 6th to 8th and Russia from 2nd to 3rd, so Belgium seems to be the only semi 1 country left still rising, the same happened to the Common Linnets, the slowly went on top...

 

[Ritararita]

After both SFs, I actually think it could be some dark horse, possibly or .

 

[RainyWoods]

The dark horses this year are incredibly dangerous. Latvia, Belgium and Spain could all do it.. i'm really look specifically in the direction of Latvia though. It really is a sensational song and performance. Would the public/jury really get behind something so special or will they go the easy route? If one of those three don't win then it will most likely be Sweden, Russia or Australia.

My non existent money is on Latvia though. Going with my heart.

 

[FilipFromSweden]

I honestly think Azerbaijan has the biggest chance right now, the song was amazing and the performance with the Sia influences, spot on. But it seems like everybody is saying Sweden so that feels good

 

[Uto]

Sweden is still top dog I feel, but I never thought they were going to be in trouble and I think they are. Especially Belgium and Russia I can see overtaking them. Then there's also Norway being far better than ever imagined yesterday and I wouldn't take bets against them.

 

[DutchESC]

is shortening like crazy in the betting odds! Definitely a dark horse that could possibly take the crown.
But still think that or will win.

 

[tuorem]

2003 was 12 years ago....we live in a different age

I'm not saying Belgium is chanceless but I seriously doubt they will come close to winning unless all the favorites bomb. And even if its a 2011 scenario the Azerbaijan would be Australia, or Estonia, not Belgium

I don't see winning either, even though they got the famous 13th slot. Of course, that'll help them reach the left side of the scoreboard, but it won't be enough to overshadow the favourites that are still in the race imo.

 

[Jonaxh]

got this in the bag...

 

[Pawhlen]

is shortening like crazy in the betting odds! Definitely a dark horse that could possibly take the crown.
But still think that or will win.

I'm not surprised at all over shortening in the odds, it's charting better than on Itunes

 

[DutchESC]

I'm not surprised at all over shortening in the odds, it's charting better than on Itunes

It's such a lovely song and Loic really deserves the success. I don't see the hype over the Russian song, it's not much special imo. But yeah it's Russia, so it will probably end up high. ;s

 

[Pawhlen]

will finish very high

but I must say that those who thought the bass in our song could be our failure because not all TV:s has that good sound, would be in deep trouble too since their song is also build up on those basses

 

[Chorizo]

So I guess I can remove Estonia from my list of likely winners...
I'm really unhappy with the draw of Slovenia and Estonia. Since ORF is not here at the moment, there are no fake cheers to hide that.

I understand that they couldn't give everyone a good draw and of course they favored and but the running order looks really awful.

I also think that with this running order, has a chance now. I'm still convinced that their style of music doesn't appeal to a wide audience but with a draw like this, they might actually get enough votes. Of course, last year Austria's draw was 11 and the UK was last. This year Sweden and Australia are number 10 and 12 in the running order and Italy is last.

In case of Russia, I think the fact that the EBU gave them such a good draw suggests that the EBU doesn't expect them to win. For political reasons, Russia is unlikely to get much support from countries that aren't among its usual voting buddies, so a good draw shouldn't be enough to make them win.
Russia winning would be a huge problem for the EBU, so if the EBU saw them as a potential winner, they would certainly have given them a worse draw. After all, if Russia won, this would mean all kinds of problems for next year's contest. It's not just a matter of disapproval of Russian politics but there are other things to consider like the effect of the sanctions on the organization of a contest in Russia, the anti-gay laws and the possible withdrawal of countries. These are problems the EBU definitely wants to avoid. So since they feel confident to give Russia a good draw, that can only mean that Russia won't win anyway. Maybe the lack of support from the West was already obvious during the semi final.

 

[simonPL]

Belgium or Latvia should win this year! And I like the UK entry too.

I think Russia or Sweden will make it anyway. I like them but I want something cool to win this year, so Latvia or Belgium would be amazing.

 

[FilipFromSweden]

I can't stop thinking about who is going to win so I made this:

 

[FilipFromSweden]

In case of Russia, I think the fact that the EBU gave them such a good draw suggests that the EBU doesn't expect them to win. For political reasons, Russia is unlikely to get much support from countries that aren't among its usual voting buddies, so a good draw shouldn't be enough to make them win.
Russia winning would be a huge problem for the EBU, so if the EBU saw them as a potential winner, they would certainly have given them a worse draw. After all, if Russia won, this would mean all kinds of problems for next year's contest. It's not just a matter of disapproval of Russian politics but there are other things to consider like the effect of the sanctions on the organization of a contest in Russia, the anti-gay laws and the possible withdrawal of countries. These are problems the EBU definitely wants to avoid. So since they feel confident to give Russia a good draw, that can only mean that Russia won't win anyway. Maybe the lack of support from the West was already obvious during the semi final.

Imagine how much pre-recorded cheers they are going to have to use if Russia wins the crowd will go crazy and not in a good way

 

[megzypegzy999]

i think this could be the closest contest in years.

 

[A-lister]

I hope Israel will win and that it will turn out to be the dark horse... but knowing too much about how this contest works these days with the juries back and all I have very little hope... if the "producers" wouldn't have messed up their chances by putting them in a bad draw I could have actually seen them winning... now not so much.

I'm afraid it will be something predictable like Sweden... and I guess out of the options we have this year and in the final it's one of the lesser evils... I hope it won't be a ballad... but if it will be then please let it be something genuine like Montenegro or Latvia... but highly doubt it could happen... still though chances it'll be a ballad again this year are very high considering almost all entries are ballads... and then next year will be an even bigger snooze-fest Zzzzz

Italy's only good aspect is that it's sung in Italian, but dated popera ballad ... no thank you... certainly the most overrated entry of the year and I almost get France 2011 vibes from the hype (it's a bit similar in style) and we all know how that ended? Though this will probably do better but still... then I would much much prefer Spain to win (also a ballad in native language) which imo is a much better song...

But quite frankly is a bit hard to predict this year... but then again with the juries back (bar 2009 and 2011) the winners have been VERY predictable to say the least and it's borderline boring even... and with the "producers" choosing the running order and the juries having more say the results are even more fixed and predictable...

 

[ElRuso]

Off topic here, but there are no anti gay laws in Russia.

St. Petersburg