Qualifiers from semi 1

[dragvision]

i think italy give many points to albania, in italy living 500.000 albanian, most of them have satellite tv, they are more nationalistic them romanian/moldovian, the albanian know very well festival i kenges, if tvsh give the italian brodcast tv of the 1 semifinal (rai 5) in the decoder is number 23 i think the immigrates albanina in italy want send sms.
immigrants europeani in italy:
1.000.000 romanian
500.000 albanian
500.000 moldovian
300.000 ex yugo
300.000 ex soviet
the turkish community is in increase

 

[A-lister]

My initial guess on who's qualifying from this semi (not my own opinion on the entries though) (in order of appearance):












Albania & Austria are dark-horses and could very well snatch the place of either Hungary or Moldova I think.

I'd like Finland to qualify, unfortunately I don't think they'll manage.

 

[Sabiondo]

It would be Russia's case (considering the lack of quality of their entry), but they will get some televoting support. However, juries will hate it! Maybe this year Russia won't be in the final.
Like I said previously, I have some doubts concerning Russia's qualification. The 10th spot... Could be Belgium (with juries help) or Israel (with televoting support).

But just like Albania.. Russia also have his neibourd-diaspora voting countries as Latvia (200.000s Russians Speakers here), Israel (700 or 800.000s Russians speakers here) , Azerbaijan & Moldova (Arround the 80% of the population of thorse countries speak Russian, but ovoiusly Moldova will give the 12 points to Romania but 8 or 7 to Russia), also big comunities of russians in Hungary, Greece, Cyprus, Finland-(The udmutian its a ultro-finich lenguage) in their semi.

So, with thorse suports, do you thing that they will be out from the final..??

 

[dragvision]

many not eurofans vote for russia this year especially olders people vote for the grannies. In Italy leving many russian and ukranian most of the them are women

 

[Adeline]

My guess:












Although Albania, Latvia and Russia might be outsiders. I also have the bad feeling that Finland might struggle. I hope I'm wrong, since it's my second favourite.
Personally I also think that Jedward are among the weaker entries in this semi, but I think they will manage to get through due to their marketing skills.

 

[Miguel]

But just like Albania.. Russia also have his neibourd-diaspora voting countries as Latvia (200.000s Russians Speakers here), Israel (700 or 800.000s Russians speakers here) , Azerbaijan & Moldova (Arround the 80% of the population of thorse countries speak Russian, but ovoiusly Moldova will give the 12 points to Romania but 8 or 7 to Russia), also big comunities of russians in Hungary, Greece, Cyprus, Finland-(The udmutian its a ultro-finich lenguage) in their semi.

So, with thorse suports, do you thing that they will be out from the final..??

Each country's votes (including RUSSIA) will be decided on a 50:50 split between televoting and a national jury. Russia will be last (or close to it) in the juries voting, so I don't see how Russia's qualification is so sure. It's because of those theories the betting odds fail so hard. This is not a contest based on televoting only.

 

[LakZaNokte]

my favorites from this semi are


also, pretty sure and will qualify as well

 

[Sabiondo]

Each country's votes (including RUSSIA) will be decided on a 50:50 split between televoting and a national jury. Russia will be last (or close to it) in the juries voting, so I don't see how Russia's qualification is so sure. It's because of those theories the betting odds fail so hard. This is not a contest based on televoting only.

If Russia get a 4th or 5th place in the televoting (Im sure of that) even the juries will put 30 points or lower to QF, they still will be intro the final

 

[Sabiondo]

many not eurofans vote for russia this year especially olders people vote for the grannies. In Italy leving many russian and ukranian most of the them are women

Maybe in West Europe, but i guess that mostly in the Easten Europeans countries voting on their semi will

In Milano where are mostly of the Russian ppl living in Italy -(Due buissnes reazons) & arround 700s-800s.000s ex-patried Ukrainians living in Italy, so if Ukraine goes intro the finals, Italy had to give 7 or 8 points to Ukraine 4 sure )))))))))

 

[ParadiseES]

Greece, Romania, Russia and Denmark were going to qualify 100%.

Cyprus didn't get a good draw with Denmark and Russia coming next, but I still think they will (and should) qualify.

Iceland is not a 100% safe qualifier, but still they'll make it most probably + performing after Montenegro is quite good for them. Not high place for them, but enough to qualify.

Hungary (after Russia) and Switzerland (after Romania) got a very bad draw. But I think the juries will help them and will qualify (if they don't ***** it all with the performance).

I'm not sure about Israel. I think they will be in the edge, almost 50-50, though maybe juries would prefer other songs...

I thought Ireland was going to fail this year, but I don't think that anymore after the draw. Performing last will help them to get enough televoters to qualify.

Austria got a quite good draw too and I think they can get many points from televoting, but almost nothing from juries. That's why I think they won't qualify (gosh I hope they won't!), but I'm not totally sure about this one, they could be so close to make it.

Moldova will get a decent result from televoting, but I think juries will finally leave them in the semi.

Belgium and Finland. None of them will impress televoters, but juries will support both. I think only one of them will qualify and I think Belgium has the most chances.

Albania could surprise if Rona has a very good performance and jury votes for it, but it seems difficult. Even more difficult for Latvia and San Marino, but hey, not impossible

Montenegro... LOL no chance. Last place for sure

 

[vatroslav_cro]

These ones (I THINK):
Random order

CYP, MNE, RUS, IRE, DEN, HUN, ICE, ROM, SUI, ISR

(but...who knows...)

 

[dragvision]

Maybe in West Europe, but i guess that mostly in the Easten Europeans countries voting on their semi will

In Milano where are mostly of the Russian ppl living in Italy -(Due buissnes reazons) & arround 700s-800s.000s ex-patried Ukrainians living in Italy, so if Ukraine goes intro the finals, Italy had to give 7 or 8 points to Ukraine 4 sure )))))))))

si albania va en final se sostiura' a Ukraina y tambien puedes aspirar a sostiuirse ad rumania y moldova en el televoto, los albaneses son intencionado ad intercambiarse el voto con italia, tamnien ello kieren mostrar una buena cara en fronte a los italianos ke non siempre piensan en bien de los albaneses, y los albanes son mas nacionalista de los rumanos-moldavos

 

[une]

^ Why don't you express yourself in english, dragvision, I might be interested to know.....

 

[Shelli]

 

[Tristran]

I think these will qualify (not who I would like to qualify):

Romania
Iceland
Greece
Denmark
Cyprus
Russia
Austria
Hungary


I'd pick Moldova and Ireland for the last two final spots, but they might as well go to Finland (yes please!) and Albania (nooooo!).

 

[Sabrewulf238]

I think the qualifiers will be:

Albania
Cyprus
Denmark
Greece
Iceland
Ireland
Latvia
Moldova
Romania
Russia

 

[Asiye]

I'm sure:









Not so sure:





This semi is easier to predict for me.

 

[Raul_Spain]

Montenegro
Iceland
Albania
Belgium
Finland
Denmark
Russia
Hungary
Austria
Ireland

 

[mikimini]

DENMARK
FINLAND
GREECE
HUNGARY
ICELAND
IRELAND
ISRAEL
ROMANIA
RUSSIA
SWITZERLAND

 

[EurovisionSmile]

Who might qualify: Greece, Romania, Ireland, Iceland, Finland, Cyprus, Denmark, Russia, Hungary and Israel


Who I want to qualify: