escYOUnited
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Lithuania LITHUANIA 2021 - The Roop - Discoteque
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njdevils94
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Vaidotas Vagelis (Vaidotas is the name of the lead singer of The Roop for clarification.)
crashworld
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I am rooting for Gebrasy's song actually. I love it so much. I liken it to Bulgaria 2017. As much as I would like The Roop to get their chance to perform at Eurovision (since they have missed their chances last year), but I am hoping Gebrasy is able upset The Roop's impending expected win.
Interview with Gabrielius Vagelis! Curiosity about future projects, a probable artistic return with Kotryna and some comments about the Lithuanian language still unknown to Eurovision... and much more
The article is in Italian, you can translate with your browser's translator
eurovisionin.com
The article is in Italian, you can translate with your browser's translator
Intervista | Gabrielius Vagelis, partecipante a Pabandom iš naujo 2021 - EIN
Intervista al cantante lituano Gabrielius Vagelis, in competizione nella selezione Pabandom iš naujo 2021 con il brano "My Guy".
eurovisionin.com
Gabrielius Vagelis: “Everybody needs their strength which they can hold on to”
With the race for Rotterdam hotting up in Lithuania’s Eurovision selection, Pabandom iš naujo, we wanted to get to know some of the artists fighting to reach
www.escunited.com
BernadetteCydonia
Well-known member
Trust me. Be U is dead meat. They barely even latched on to the semi, so imagine if they're faced with more televote-hungry acts and the better-rated songs by jury...
Yes! 5 artists will go to the final (6th Feb) + The Roop
crashworld
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*fingers crossed for Gebrasy & Gabrielius*
Mainshow
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Thank you for your fast reply!
I'm a bit "disappointed" but also "relieved" at the same time.
Usually, the Lithuanian heats last forever. I mean, I would have enjoyed to get more songs in general but it's also enjoyable to see them not trying to make it last forever.
That said, it's strange they did come up with heats anyway (I mean, they could have let qualify less participants and call them semi finals instead). But oh well, I have never really understood Lithuania in Eurovision
Team Reviews: Pabandom iš Naujo Semi-Final (Part 1)
Tonight, ten acts will be fighting for their chance at Eurovision glory in the Pabandom iš Naujo semi-final as Lithuania's search for Rotterdam continues. Whic
www.escunited.com
Voldemars Petersons: “Eurovision is unpredictable every time, you can’t guess the good or bad recipe”
With the race for Rotterdam hotting up in Lithuania’s Eurovision selection, Pabandom iš naujo, we wanted to get to know some of the artists fighting to reach
www.escunited.com
njdevils94
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To figure out who will make it to the final and battle out to finish runner-up to The Roop let's look at some numbers.
Credit to BernadetteCydonia for the televote numbers. The bolded names are the ones who made the semifinal.
Televotes
Martyna Jezepčikaitė 2063 (Sim-card queen of the heats)
Titas & Benas 994
Gebrasy 868
Black Spikes feat. Indrė Launikonytė 805
Be U 780
Norbertas 587
Voldemars Petersons 498
Milita Daikerytė 448
Evita Cololo 443
Gabrielius Vagelis 423
Aldegunda 357
Donata Virbilaitė 353
Gabrielė Goštautaitė 340
Rapolas Meškauskas 333
Sunday Afternoon 249
Twosome 213
UnoBand 169
Aistė Brokenleg 131
Thomukas1 108
Cosmic Bride 93
Youtube views of the 10 Qualifiers as of around 14:30 CET Jan. 30 (keep in mind semi 1 views are a full week older.)
Heat 2
Gebrasy 74k
Gabrielius Vagelis 31k
Norbertas 17k
Evita Cololo 14k
Aistė Brokenleg 10k
Heat 1
Milita Daikerytė 71k
Martyna Jezepčikaitė 33k
Voldemars Petersons 31k
Titas & Benas 28k
Be U 18k
Jury scores are arguably the most difficult statistic to measure but I'll try anyway.
Jury Scores (Highest possible is 60 and lowest is 5)
Gebrasy 55
Voldemars Petersons 52
Milita Daikerytė 49
Gabrielius Vagelis 47
Evita Cololo 46
Titas & Benas 41
Be U 30
Aistė Brokenleg 27
Martyna Jezepčikaitė 27
Norbertas 21
Who is more likely than not in?
With no promotion of her entry going into heat 1 I expect Milita's televote to improve and up top 4 at least in both categories. Gebrasy will win this semifinal with ease and finish 2nd to The Roop in the final. Gabrielius will do enough in both televote/juries to make it through even though not spectacular. Titas & Benas did well with the the juries and they could well improve their score in the semis.
Who is most likely out?
After barley qualifying in their respective heats Aistė Brokenleg (Sorry @anaraqueen ) and Be U seem like toast. Norbertas will be destroyed by the juries who didn't even want this in the semifinal to begin with. Evita will need a high televote score to progress and don't see her getting it but she could be a surprise I suppose.
So the last spot is between Voldemars and Martyna. Being that Voldemars won his heat I think he might just make it but another televote win for Martyna (most likely due to sim-cards and her talent show fanbase) would certainly change that
Prediction to qualify for the final:
Gebrasy
Milita Daikerytė
Gabrielius Vagelis
Titas & Benas
Voldemars Petersons
Credit to BernadetteCydonia for the televote numbers. The bolded names are the ones who made the semifinal.
Televotes
Martyna Jezepčikaitė 2063 (Sim-card queen of the heats)
Titas & Benas 994
Gebrasy 868
Black Spikes feat. Indrė Launikonytė 805
Be U 780
Norbertas 587
Voldemars Petersons 498
Milita Daikerytė 448
Evita Cololo 443
Gabrielius Vagelis 423
Aldegunda 357
Donata Virbilaitė 353
Gabrielė Goštautaitė 340
Rapolas Meškauskas 333
Sunday Afternoon 249
Twosome 213
UnoBand 169
Aistė Brokenleg 131
Thomukas1 108
Cosmic Bride 93
Youtube views of the 10 Qualifiers as of around 14:30 CET Jan. 30 (keep in mind semi 1 views are a full week older.)
Heat 2
Gebrasy 74k
Gabrielius Vagelis 31k
Norbertas 17k
Evita Cololo 14k
Aistė Brokenleg 10k
Heat 1
Milita Daikerytė 71k
Martyna Jezepčikaitė 33k
Voldemars Petersons 31k
Titas & Benas 28k
Be U 18k
Jury scores are arguably the most difficult statistic to measure but I'll try anyway.
Jury Scores (Highest possible is 60 and lowest is 5)
Gebrasy 55
Voldemars Petersons 52
Milita Daikerytė 49
Gabrielius Vagelis 47
Evita Cololo 46
Titas & Benas 41
Be U 30
Aistė Brokenleg 27
Martyna Jezepčikaitė 27
Norbertas 21
Who is more likely than not in?
With no promotion of her entry going into heat 1 I expect Milita's televote to improve and up top 4 at least in both categories. Gebrasy will win this semifinal with ease and finish 2nd to The Roop in the final. Gabrielius will do enough in both televote/juries to make it through even though not spectacular. Titas & Benas did well with the the juries and they could well improve their score in the semis.
Who is most likely out?
After barley qualifying in their respective heats Aistė Brokenleg (Sorry @anaraqueen
) and Be U seem like toast. Norbertas will be destroyed by the juries who didn't even want this in the semifinal to begin with. Evita will need a high televote score to progress and don't see her getting it but she could be a surprise I suppose.So the last spot is between Voldemars and Martyna. Being that Voldemars won his heat I think he might just make it but another televote win for Martyna (most likely due to sim-cards and her talent show fanbase) would certainly change that
Prediction to qualify for the final:
Gebrasy
Milita Daikerytė
Gabrielius Vagelis
Titas & Benas
Voldemars Petersons
BernadetteCydonia
Well-known member
My personal qualifiers prediction is:
• Gebrasy (clear fave of both parties, even the foreigners keep saying this is the second best choice to The Roop)
• Gabrielius Vagelis (not as clear fave as Gebrasy but he ended up 2nd in the semi, and almost always a jury darling even more than the televoting one, and that has been prevalent ever since he was fresh off The Voice Lithuania, a place that normally has people having fans of themselves. Him being rated less by the televote will probably not hinder his chances much, unless the impact of every X Factor reject fighting for televotes, and a possibility that the juries will not love him as much, might be his cruxes of tonight)
---------------------------
Now for the toss up acts, I believe that these three have the most potential:
• Milita Daikerytė (some jury darlings get supported more than televote evidently, and in most of these cases, acts with higher jury scores have more chances to make it, and I think Milita is no exception, unless Voldemars *really* gets in her way. Remember, Aistė Brokenleg qualified with even 2 televote points. I think Milita has it all to become this year's Junà, so to speak.)
• Titas and Benas (an act that was also moderately agreed on in the first semifinal pointswise. Juries think this song is decent, televoting showers them with points because they remember them from X Factor, so they have their fanbase.)
• Evita Cololo (speaking of X Factor fanbase qualities... she's a winner of The Voice (the only one I recall that is in this year), and these only end up growing a fanbase if their songs are consistently good and worth following, possibly. X Factor has a bigger audience for people to televote their faves, so they're familiar with the acts more. I'm saying is that a war will wage for televoter attention between fanbases. And jury have their own cruxes to put down on these same exact people (except Titas and Benas). I think maybe Evita has the capability of emerge out of the out-cancellation as the ideal middleground - she received 8 points from both public and televote, so it's possible for her to make it, I wouldn't count her out)
Norbertas and Martyna were extremely tanked by the juries for their lack of confidence on performing on stage, so I would expect them to do their homework this time around, but not enough for the juries to suddenly love their acts. Some acts that make it far aren't even helped enough by the televote to sustain their cred (remember Tiramisu in 2019? They'd qualify to the semi if the tiebreak was the televote, but it wasn't, and never was for as long as I remember), however the jury has more power to draw their faves into the final.
And while Voldemars is one, I don't think the jury will straightforwardly power him to the final fully, unless they think that chorus catchiness is above all to 12 him again in place of acts that might deserve it more. Televote will definitely sink him to some degrees. Remember in what semifinal he's in - the one swarmed with X Factor fanbase crowded folk (as if the entire edition itself wasn't one lol)! So he might as well suffer from not being a young and hip X Factor act with an audience (as he once auditioned to the show but I don't think he made that far lol). And he always did, on his three participations in a row. History says jury gives him more points than televote always does. And this year televote actually gave a decent amount of points to Voldemars! But that's not worth celebrating for, sadly.
Be U barely even qualified with both parties giving them middleground points, Aistė Brokenleg will almost definitely suffer death by televote.
And that's all before I waffle off from this forum again~
• Gebrasy (clear fave of both parties, even the foreigners keep saying this is the second best choice to The Roop)
• Gabrielius Vagelis (not as clear fave as Gebrasy but he ended up 2nd in the semi, and almost always a jury darling even more than the televoting one, and that has been prevalent ever since he was fresh off The Voice Lithuania, a place that normally has people having fans of themselves. Him being rated less by the televote will probably not hinder his chances much, unless the impact of every X Factor reject fighting for televotes, and a possibility that the juries will not love him as much, might be his cruxes of tonight)
---------------------------
Now for the toss up acts, I believe that these three have the most potential:
• Milita Daikerytė (some jury darlings get supported more than televote evidently, and in most of these cases, acts with higher jury scores have more chances to make it, and I think Milita is no exception, unless Voldemars *really* gets in her way. Remember, Aistė Brokenleg qualified with even 2 televote points. I think Milita has it all to become this year's Junà, so to speak.)
• Titas and Benas (an act that was also moderately agreed on in the first semifinal pointswise. Juries think this song is decent, televoting showers them with points because they remember them from X Factor, so they have their fanbase.)
• Evita Cololo (speaking of X Factor fanbase qualities... she's a winner of The Voice (the only one I recall that is in this year), and these only end up growing a fanbase if their songs are consistently good and worth following, possibly. X Factor has a bigger audience for people to televote their faves, so they're familiar with the acts more. I'm saying is that a war will wage for televoter attention between fanbases. And jury have their own cruxes to put down on these same exact people (except Titas and Benas). I think maybe Evita has the capability of emerge out of the out-cancellation as the ideal middleground - she received 8 points from both public and televote, so it's possible for her to make it, I wouldn't count her out)
Norbertas and Martyna were extremely tanked by the juries for their lack of confidence on performing on stage, so I would expect them to do their homework this time around, but not enough for the juries to suddenly love their acts. Some acts that make it far aren't even helped enough by the televote to sustain their cred (remember Tiramisu in 2019? They'd qualify to the semi if the tiebreak was the televote, but it wasn't, and never was for as long as I remember), however the jury has more power to draw their faves into the final.
And while Voldemars is one, I don't think the jury will straightforwardly power him to the final fully, unless they think that chorus catchiness is above all to 12 him again in place of acts that might deserve it more. Televote will definitely sink him to some degrees. Remember in what semifinal he's in - the one swarmed with X Factor fanbase crowded folk (as if the entire edition itself wasn't one lol)! So he might as well suffer from not being a young and hip X Factor act with an audience (as he once auditioned to the show but I don't think he made that far lol). And he always did, on his three participations in a row. History says jury gives him more points than televote always does. And this year televote actually gave a decent amount of points to Voldemars! But that's not worth celebrating for, sadly.
Be U barely even qualified with both parties giving them middleground points, Aistė Brokenleg will almost definitely suffer death by televote.
And that's all before I waffle off from this forum again~
BernadetteCydonia
Well-known member
I mean yes, but it's ultimately not worth to ignore the competition itself, because if you ultimately keep saying the winner is decided like this, it may be a thing that the destined winner doesn't end up winning... xD
Mimmon
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crashworld
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Thanks for the links. I am going to be so busy switching between these streams. But my focus will be the France one. And I hope I can watch Gebrasy's performance before I switch to the France's NF. Any idea which spot is he performing?
If I am correct, this is the running order:
- BE U – “Love Yourself”
- Aistė Brokenleg – “Home”
- Gabrielius Vagelis – “My Guy"
- Voldemars Petersons – “Never Fall For You Again”
- Norbertas – “Man In Need”
- Evita Cololo – “Be paslapčių "
- Titas & Benas – “No"
- Martyna Jezepčikaitė – “Thank You Very Much”
- Milita Daikerytė – “Shadows”
- Gebrasy – “Where’d You Wanna Go?”
Fortunately France will start at 21.00, so we have only to switch between Lithuania and Norway for an hour or so. But I am not the switching type. I am not young anymore to make myself stress.