I have a thought that for 2020s,
• France would become a new powerhouse and win once or twice if conditions permit
• for just a year UK becomes the fan favorite and gets good placement if not winning.
• germany rethinking again and finally sends great stuff for half of the decade
• Sweden and Ukraine would qualify mostly but gets less desirable results or to the extent of unqualifying once (or again for sweden)
• Russia would somehow won once.
• To an extent, Czech Republic and Denmark start being power players
• Most of the Balkans will revenge and get good placements, also with Malta and Greece
• Norway gains their momentum again and won once
• one of the caucasus winning, as example Georgia
• Kazakhtan joining most probably when Russia or Belarus is hosting
• Italy struggling to participate because of Silvio Berlusconi
• San Marino and North Macedonia will still unqualify much although with better numbers of qualification
• A glimpse of hope on Czech Republic and Poland winning and hosting the event
1. If France will redo the voting system in DE to lessen the upper hand of the televotes, France can potentially win.
2. No... BBC has really lost it long ago and they will never come back. Only a complete overhaul by another broadcaster and the Eurovision itself getting a better reputation by the British media/people can fix it. It's however not very likely, unfortunately.
3. Indeed. Kind of the same as France above, but has Germany to up their game with a better selection of songs in upcoming NFs.
4. It will be very interesting to see what will happen to Sweden when Björkman leaves. There is a risk that the 2020s may be an era of terrible results like the late 2000s if SVT relies too much on its current formula. Even the juries can't rate Sweden on top forever, if not we could send something genuine, out of the box and
GREAT again. For Ukraine... I think the decent results will still be consistent if further corruption within the selection process doesn't happen again.
5. Yes, the same as Sweden above actually. If Russia will send something amazing that will convince everyone to love the song no matter what, expect Sobral/Ryback-results.
6. It's not certain, not until we know if they can play their cards right or not. Denmark has always being a mixed bag for sending overly safe songs, Czech Republic is still new in the game. Let's see what happens then.
7. For what the Balkans have been sending recently, I would bet on North Macedonia and Slovenia. Macedonia was lucky this year with disaster NF-results, the same can happen with Slovenia. Both Balkans are trying new waters and they doing really well with the fans here. All they can do is keeping trying and hope for dumb luck. The rest of the ex-Yugos relies way too much on the same thing every year. Malta will still be a jury-pleaser, they know their trump card. Greece's downward spiral can be even worse in the next decade if they don't find a way to be relevant again.
8. Yepp, Melodi Grand Prix is very reliable for a potentially good selection of songs and they have the budget to make the staging work well. Unlike Denmark and even Sweden, Norway will take chances.
9. Azerbaijan may still flop if they keep messing up with the staging (this year they did it right, however). Georgia is the Kinder Eggs of Eurovision without what we actually want, the chocolate. I would bet on Armenia right now. Their success-ratio is the same as Estonia and 2010s Belgium, a victory with the right song and staging is very possible. Only time will tell.
10. It's possible, EBU will indeed expand the Eurovision brand further.
11. The only way to fell the mighty is to force RAI to not use Sanremo as a national selection. If Silvio Berlusconi is pro-Italexit, I hope this will not result in another 14-year wait for Italy returning again.
12. It depends on the songs they will send.
13. It's very hard to tell right now. If Poland winning, they will do it the same way Finland and Portugal did it. The novelty of a record-smashing win will be temporary, Poland will probably struggle as usual in the coming years after that. Poland does have diaspora unlike Finland though. Czech Republic would probably have the same answer as "6.".