Lemme check the debutant chances again
They're out. Once again they bottled it. I thought this would happen. I only saw the highlights but they looked rather discouraged yesterday. I dont get this
Big respect
scoring twice against a team that kept the clean sheet for 9 matches... and equalizing in the last minute just makes it more emotional for the supporters and sympathizers. They'll be underdog against Australia but Australia is far from impressing. They hardly beat Thailand so what should Syria be afraid of? However, I think experience and routine will pay off for the favorite side
In case of success the intercontinental play-offs against one of Honduras/Panama/USA will follow. Only against 'Murica I see them losing for sure. The others might be beatable
World Cup chances imo:
25% as they have to eliminate two better teams
Great and convincing win over T&T
I dont see them qualifying directly though cause I guess they will lose their away match in USA. It's probably more of a fight against Honduras for 4th place. They will face Costa Rica at home while Honduras faces Mexico at home. Both opponents will be qualified on that point so the question is: How much do these teams actually care about those matches? Hopefully Mexico cares more about it than Costa Rica
World Cup chances:
40% (cause they would be underdog against Australia)
2:2 draw against Senegal isn't probably the result they desired. Then again, Senegal is arguably the strongest rival in this group and they hold them at a distance. They are still leading the group, but the group is pretty much a bloodbath. Two points between first and last place, every match is crucial now. I have literally no idea how the remaining matches are gonna end, this is pretty random. I feel like a team I didn't consider before might make its debut, namely
Cape Verde . I think their squad is better than Burkina Faso's, moreover they now have some momentum.
Burkina Faso chances:
30%
Cape Verde:
35%
Bad news for my favorite underdogs Uganda. As expected Egypt was too strong on their home ground. I have no doubt about that Egypt will beat Congo comfortably so Uganda is forced to beat Ghana on next match day, which requires a great and flawless performance - just like their home performance against Egypt. Are they able to pull off another perfect match? I don't think so.
WC chances:
15%
Look at my last post. Chances for the play-off spot are like 50% imo cause Iceland doesn't do very well in away matches and a loss to Turkey, sad but true, is a realistic scenario.
About the play-offs: I am not quite sure if Icelands ends up in the seeded pot. Teams will be seeded by the FIFA World Rankings and not by some weird coefficents. In that ranking, Iceland is behind Italy, Switzerland/Portugal, and both Wales and Sweden. But Wales might end up as the worst 2nd-placed team. So.. it will be really close. Poland better don't lose their 1st place cause they are much better ranked than Iceland. I think Iceland would have good chances to beat Slovakia (+ Slovenia, Scotland), Montenegro (I think they will lose their position to Denmark anyway) and even Bosnia. Northern Ireland is similar to Iceland, so this could be a tricky match. Iceland would lose to Italy, both Switzerland and Portugal, probably Sweden and - if they make it to the play-offs - also to Denmark. Well, I am not quite sure cause Denmark is inconsistent but if they are on fire they are a strong side as we could see in their match against Poland.
Iceland WC chances: I dont know...
40%? Depends so much on if they are seeded or not
For the sake of completeness:
Keeping the second place will be hard enough and in the play-offs they wouldn't be seeded for sure and they would fail against teams like Italy, Portugal and also Switzerland
WC chances:
5-10%