Even though I like my own country's entry, I have it at the bottom with the Juries myself. So my question is: How much reality does the Eurojury reflect? I haven't followed it the past years and don't know if they can be seen as something relevant.
First live performances aside, eurojury probably has the most influence on the betting odds in this current phase before the rehearsals begin.
In general, countries doing well in eurojury often tend to do well with eurovision juries, but this is absolutely no guarantee. We can look at the top 10 eurojury each year and see which country underperformed later on:
2014
UK won Eurojury, 16th place and only 52 points with real juries
Italy 10th with Eurojury, 21th place and only 37 points with real juries
2015
Albania 5th with Eurojury, 26th place and only 4 points with real juries
Iceland 6th with Eurojury, Non-Qualifier and only 15 points in the semi
UK 7th with Eurojury, 23rd place and only 12 points with real juries
The Netherlands 9th with Eurojury, Non-Qualifier with a decent jury score of 70 points in the semi.
2016
Spain 6th with Eurojury, 16th place and 67 points with real juries
Uk 10th with Eurojury, 17th place and 54 points with real juries
2017
France 8th with Eurojury, 19th place and only 45 points with real juries
(Blackbird missed out on a single point for the 10th place in Eurojury, only got 42 jury points in the semi later on altough Eurojury judged their national final performance)
2018
Switzerland 5th with Eurojury, Non-qualifier with 59 points in the semi
Norway 9th Eurojury, 16th place and 60 points with real juries
2019
Greece 5th with Eurojury, only 50 points with real juries
Armenia 6th with Eurojury, Non-qualifier with 26 points.
United Kingdom 8th with Eurojury, only 8 points with real juries.
Ofc you cant blame juries on entries like Albania 2015 because they mostly judge studio versions.
Getting a low eurojury is often a bad sign, but not always. Moldova 2018 did not receive a single point from eurojury and Albania 2018 only got a single vote, both ended up in the top 10 with real juries. Eurojury also hated Zero Gravity in 2019, yet it got a decent 3rd place with juries in the semi.
@
AshleyWright
She was asking about eurojury, the post you quoted is about escbubble.
Escbubble is crap imo, but eurojury is a helpful tool.. but its more a tendency than a given thing.