Re: AUSTRALIA 2019
This feels like very bad news for Courtney and very good news for Electric Fields (their success with that notoriously pat organization genuinely made me gasp).
Being part of the OGAE Australia discussion page on Facebook myself, I actually wasn't too surprised by either of those things. I've noted a few times before in this thread that Electric Fields were probably the most popular act over there, and that Courtney herself is well-liked but her song is generally seen as a disappointment.
A few things
did surprise me, though. I'd thought Sheppard would've been closer to Electric Fields, and that Kate would've been further off; based on these numbers, I'd have guessed something like Sheppard 510, Kate 470. That said, I think Sheppard will do better with juries and mainstream casual viewers than with OGAE, so they're not quite out of it yet.
Leea also did a fair bit better than expected – I'd expected her to do decently, but she's only a single voter's worth of points away from market leader Sheppard. Given that she's perhaps more mainstream-friendly and jury-friendly than Electric Fields and Kate, she could have a real chance here as a dark horse – e.g. in a scenario where she performs well, Electric Fields struggle live, Sheppard is fine but not winner material and Kate fails to attract the casual televote.
Going a little bit down the list, Ella got some more points than expected; I would've guessed she'd be further down near Tania, at 240 or something. On the other hand, I would've expected a few more for Aydan, not necessarily winning but more in 7th than last.
And seeing Mark in 8th is a little disappointing, though I haven't seen as much love for him as I would've liked anywhere, really, so it's not a big surprise.