ZoboCamel
Well-known member
I have no idea either but I'm surprised bookmakers haven't seen one bit of potential in it so far.
Claiming it could win would be a stretch obviously but is it that chanceless as far as qualification is concerned compared with the rest? It remains to be seen. If it were another country sending this, I'm sure it wouldn't be that low to begin with.
We'll see what happens once all entries are out, it wouldn't be the first time an act gets reconsidered by the time Eurovision starts.
Keep in mind that these are purely the odds for the win - not for qualification, or for top 10, or for anything like that. Technically, there could somehow be a song that people were 100% sure would end in second place - i.e. do really well - but if nobody thinks it actually has a chance at nabbing that #1 spot, then it's going to have super-long odds. Something along the same lines could be going on here: I've seen people thinking this will do well, but nobody at this point is giving it any consideration as a winner candidate.
That said, I think this is just more a case of divided opinions, since in general the prediction markets haven't reacted to it too well for the top 10 or qualification odds either: looking at Betfair, nobody's snapping up what are already longer-than-average odds in both of those two markets, and more tellingly, nobody's even got a bet offer open on super-long odds. That second point will probably change over the coming weeks, but yeah, more objective predictions aren't expecting too much from this. Generally because it's perceived as "aggressive", I think; also because it's a risky genre that could turn a lot of people away, and it's being sent by Slovenia in a semi full of traditionally strong countries. I'm personally not taking any position on it either way so far, but those are the reasons I've seen thrown around.