Come on, would you think that Ireland, Latvia, Croatia, Malta, Netherlands or even Serbia (yes, that song will be the fan flop of the year) stands more chances than us?
I do not have doubts about our Q chances sending either Mimicat, Edmundo or even YCWCB... the big issue here is about the result in the final.
And we have France and Switzerland voting on the semifinal. Sending Mimicat would lock 12 points from them.
No but I can totally see these countries standing more chances than Portugal easily:
1. Sweden
2. Norway
3. Finland
4. Israel
5. Moldova
6. Czechia
and yes, maybe even
7. Croatia (could easily sneak into a televoting Top 10)
I agree with you on
, though - "diaspora" hasn´t saved a few Serbian entries before but the song is very original/progressive and there will be only "5 NQ´s" and I can´t picture Serbia not making it atm.
Personally, I think that there are only 2-3 spots "left" and no matter who you are going to send, it will be a battle (unless Czechia completely falls flat live).
Switzerland shouldn´t be underestimated, either - they would have qualified in 2012, 2013, 2017 (if we had the 100% televoting system).
Also, in a sea full of competitive, energetic songs with demanding performances, the most generic, bland and radio-friendly track (e.g. Ireland) could perform well... even in the televoting. - A little reminder: "Storm" (
2019) ended up being part of the televoting Top 3
If you ask me, it will be very tough for countries to qualify (albeit the 6/7 I´ve mentioned above) - and yes, that included Portugal (unfortunately).