Unfortunately this is the most obvious non-qualifier we have sent since 2016
they really might get
from Latvia and that's it.
Woah, how'd we go from 200+ predicted televote points to 12, that's a pretty harsh drop.
I wouldn't be quite so doom and gloom just yet.
Nothing's really certain, but I don't see why we couldn't sneak in at 9th or 10th place at the very least.
There might be enough televoters who find this fun and catchy enough to throw us some votes. Don't think the rehearsal clip was quite so bad that we're a guaranteed nonqualifier now.
And while we're 10th in odds, 70% is still pretty decent (tho' like we saw yesterday, certainly not any kind of a guarantee). But yeah, things could go either way. Really hard to judge what the general European audience will think tomorrow, if they'll love it or hate it or something in between.
I'm still cautiously optimistic, but won't be too shocked if we flop, just disappointed. The message that will probably send our televoters is: more stuff like Victor Crone and Stefan and Alika! After all, beige/generic song in English qualified while fun quirky song in Estonian didn't! Not the kind of message I'd like to send, personally.
And well, it'll just be sad to miss out on the final in any case. But I think there's still hope yet.
Guess today's rehearsals and polls might give us another clue or two, but we won't know the final outcome until tomorrow!
In regards to our 2016+ (non)qualifiers, I think Uku in 2021 was the most obvious of them. Didn't really have much hope for him after rehearsals, things were looking far too generic and bland at that point. Think I even predicted his 13th place right in the prediction game that year.
Was worried for Alika last year, but not totally hopeless. Same with Victor in 2019.
2017 was a bit of a shock, tho' I didn't much care for the song itself.. but the fact most were predicting it to qualify and do well convinced me we had decent odds.
2022 was less stressful, tho' the stage saga threw a wrench in the works. And I guess 2018 was the most relaxed, tho' the fact it was a polarizing song meant you couldn't rule out a surprise flop either.
In any case, here's hoping we can make it this year!
I don't even care if we end up bottom 5 in the final, it'd still be nice to be there! But perhaps there'd be a chance for a nice solid mid-table Stefan result too!
But first things first, let's see what the semi brings.