Who will qualify from Semifinal 2 2025?

[Realest]

 

[GRE]

This is my prediction atm for the 2nd Semifinal =>

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
--------------
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.

 

[SpiritofKeiino]

Safe:
Probably safe:

Borderline:

Out:

Of the 3 I have as Borderline, I'm going to guess that Armenia gets the last qualifying spot. I love Latvia but I'm worried it's headed for a Fuleen or Eaea result (yes I know Ulveham qualified last year, but only just). I can see a case for Serbia qualifying but i just think Armenia might pick up more support and I also note France is voting here.

Of the Outs: Montenegro may struggle for support outside the Balkans. Denmark isn't a strong enough performer or song. Georgia isn't memorable. Ireland already feels like the budget has been cut so I don't hold out hope for the staging it would need to be memorable and create a 'moment' especially from slot 3.

 

[Funix]

Saling though without any hiccups:
The rest:

Serbia should be changed with in my own opinion. is a tricky one to decide, but for now I'm sure it will NQ.

 

[macmillanandwife]

Yes:
Who cares:

 

[Realest]

BOs.

1		Finland Erika Vikman - Ich komme	89%	1.01
2		Israel Yuval Raphael - New Day Will Rise	89%	1.01	1.02
3		Austria JJ - Wasted Love	89%	1.01	1.03
4		Lithuania Katarsis - Tavo akys	75%	1.2	1.18
5		Australia Go-Jo - Milkshake Man	75%	1.2	1.23
6		Greece Klavdia - Asteromata	75%	1.2	1.26
6		Malta Miriana Conte - Serving	75%	1.2	1.26
8		Czechia Adonxs - Kiss Kiss Goodbye	73%	1.25	1.21
9		Luxembourg Thorn - La poupée monte le son	60%	1.5	1.59
10		Ireland Emmy - Laika Party	51%	1.75	1.83
11		Serbia Princ - Mila	48%	1.91	1.67
12		Armenia Parg - Survivor	47%	1.91	1.86
13		Latvia Tautumeitas - Bur man laimi	47%	1.91	2.22
14		Denmark Sissal - Hallucination	47%	1.91	2.28
15		Montenegro Nina Žižić - Dobrodošli	36%	2.5	2.74
16		Georgia Mariam Shengelia - Freedom	23%	4	3.3

 

[lavieenrose]

Okay, pre-rehearsal predix. This semi is weird. I think of it as fairly similar to 2019 semi 2 where you've got about a half-dozen songs whose spots in the final seem pretty unassailable, a couple "probably"s, and then 2 wide-open spots...except that I think one of the "probably"s is missing (but also because I wish it would qualify). I'll try to distinguish between those seven p damn safe entries but I think the differences between the top seven are pretty academic.

HEADED FOR A VOYAGER-STYLE RESULT WHERE SHE LEVERAGES HER RUNNING ORDER SPOT, HER RELATIVE ADVANTAGE WITH TELEVOTERS AS OPPOSED TO JURIES, AND A FANTABULOUS PERFORMANCE TOWARDS A SEMI WIN

ULTRA SAFE

WOULD BE ULTRA SAFE BUT THAT DAMN RUNNING ORDER

SAFE

WOULD BE SAFE BUT THAT DAMN RUNNING ORDER

BORDERLINE +

BORDERLINE -

THE ODDS ARE CRACKED OUT THESE ARE IN THE "ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE" CATEGORY

THE ODDS ARE UNFORTUNATELY CORRECT THIS IS IN THE "ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE" CATEGORY

OUT

 

[lavieenrose]

Who cares:

I care

 

[RainyWoods]

Will win the semi:


Safe:


Chance to go wrong but should be safe:


Borderline in:



11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16.


This semi is much more interesting than the first, and I have to actually use my noodle a bit more when predicting. Australia is the big one here I just don't agree or understand the bookies with. Song alone, this really does not feel like a qualifier. Maybe staging can help it (and it must be half decent if they've allowed it to open) but I think it will be forgotten by the end of the show when we've had Kant, Ich Komme and whatever the heck Parg will be doing, speaking of which, he should be easily through as he doesn't have any male bop competition, unless we count Adonxs' 15 second dance break.. sadly the dance break has me regretfully placing Czechia 11th, although I think the borderlines in this semi will be close. Czechia and Denmark could easily replace one of them if they step things up *cough* step things up Sissal.

Greece and Lithuania stand on dodgy ground but should be able to slide in. Ireland stands on dodgier ground still and I fear if they don't bring good staging, they'll be out. I'm winging it with Serbia. Princ is hot, good singer, good draw.. he'll be picking up a bunch of very high points but not much else. Last year 43 points was the lowest needed in one of the semis to advance. He should reach something like that, if a smidge more.

 

[rasmuslights]

If Latvia doesn't make it, and those dud songs from Armenia, Serbia and Ireland make it?

How does that make sense?

Serbia has a boring ballad that literally no one cares about, Armenia has a imagine dragons rip-off with poor vocals and Ireland is a jesc song that finished 10th on the scoreboard. And Latvia is serving what eurovision should be with gorgeous stagings and vocals.

Like how?

 

[SpiritofKeiino]

If Latvia doesn't make it, and those dud songs from Armenia, Serbia and Ireland make it?

How does that make sense?

Serbia has a boring ballad that literally no one cares about, Armenia has a imagine dragons rip-off with poor vocals and Ireland is a jesc song that finished 10th on the scoreboard. And Latvia is serving what eurovision should be with gorgeous stagings and vocals.

Like how?

I like Latvia and I want it to qualify. The NF performance was also really strong and professional looking. My worry is that the song is going to sound too experimental and niche to get public support to qualify. I really hope I'm proven wrong on that.

 

[deletingpoint]

This semi is such a lottery that it's quite pointless to predict. Austria, Israel, Finland, Malta (the RO really makes it pop) are safe. Perhaps Czechia as well. The rest is a questionmark of what ifs and maybes. Every day i think differently.

 

[SpiritofKeiino]

This semi is such a lottery that it's quite pointless to predict. Austria, Israel, Finland, Malta (the RO really makes it pop) are safe. Perhaps Czechia as well. The rest is a questionmark of what ifs and maybes. Every day i think differently.

I'm the same. I keep changing my mind on the qualifiers, running through the permutations.
SF1 feels a bit more clear cut, but there's always a surprise. The 5 NQs in SF1 that almost everyone incl myself is predicting - Slovenia, Portugal, Croatia, Iceland, Azerbaijan - one of these will probably surprise us and qualify

 

[aelunic]

My wish (not prediction):
Australia
Ireland
Austria
Greece
Lithuania
Malta
Denmark
Czechia
Luxemburg
Finland
My absolute faves get a heart.

 

[seriouslyscratchy1]

I have reasons on why I think Denmark will qualify and Estonia not come 2nd.

Semi-Finals are usually taken up by the eurovision fans e.g Norway 2018.

Denmarks "Sissal" is an "icon" to lots of eurovision fans for having a great personality! And therefore, there will be votes from personality bias.

Estonia will not do as well in the semi-final as in final. I believe this as not so many eurovision-fans like the song. I love it personally though. And as the general-public loves the song, it will do better in the televote in the final than the semi-final.

 

[Ana Raquel]

If Latvia doesn't make it, and those dud songs from Armenia, Serbia and Ireland make it?

How does that make sense?

Serbia has a boring ballad that literally no one cares about, Armenia has a imagine dragons rip-off with poor vocals and Ireland is a jesc song that finished 10th on the scoreboard. And Latvia is serving what eurovision should be with gorgeous stagings and vocals.

Like how?

So was Blanca Paloma and Gate :') I'd love them to make it over the likes of Armenia but we can't pretend the average viewer dislikes imagine dragons and imagine dragons rip-offs

 

[Ana Raquel]

1st - 10th

Emmy is my wild guess here but tbh everyone (but Georgia) has a chance to take that 10th spot ( and being the most likely upsets)

I would include in a possible upset Luke/Teya style thanks to diaspora but I don't think Serbs seem to support their entry this time? So I don't think it will grab that many votes

 

[SpiritofKeiino]

I have reasons on why I think Denmark will qualify and Estonia not come 2nd.

Semi-Finals are usually taken up by the eurovision fans e.g Norway 2018.

Denmarks "Sissal" is an "icon" to lots of eurovision fans for having a great personality! And therefore, there will be votes from personality bias.

Estonia will not do as well in the semi-final as in final. I believe this as not so many eurovision-fans like the song. I love it personally though. And as the general-public loves the song, it will do better in the televote in the final than the semi-final.

Sissal does seem like a lovely fun person who embraced the Eurovision spirit, although I'm not a fan of her song.
For that reason alone, I wouldn't mind her qualifying although I won't actively vote for it.

 

[SpiritofKeiino]

Safe:
Probably safe:

Borderline:

Out:

Of the 3 I have as Borderline, I'm going to guess that Armenia gets the last qualifying spot. I love Latvia but I'm worried it's headed for a Fuleen or Eaea result (yes I know Ulveham qualified last year, but only just). I can see a case for Serbia qualifying but i just think Armenia might pick up more support and I also note France is voting here.

Of the Outs: Montenegro may struggle for support outside the Balkans. Denmark isn't a strong enough performer or song. Georgia isn't memorable. Ireland already feels like the budget has been cut so I don't hold out hope for the staging it would need to be memorable and create a 'moment' especially from slot 3.

I'm swapping my final qualifier from to

 

[SirPeterGriffin]

01. - Weepy propaganda to bring the zionists all together
02. - It has everything to be well succeeded
03. - Very flashy and bombastic performance to wrap the show
04. - Arena-sized song with lots of chantings and an identifiable sound
05. - Can capitalize in its naivety and throwback staging
06. - Easy gay bait with lots of show off
07. - For an alternative entry, it can suffer the Sudden Lights route but this feels more impactful. Solid RO
08. - A bit sandwiched but it can work as a breather
09. - Wildcard. Other competitors in the same lane have more advantage. A thin line between cheeky or crass
10. - A slow burner. Very much the Ramonda of this year.

11. - He seems like a pro but the song is just dime a dozen. Idk still feel like this could not go beyond the bubble
12. - It saddens me but unfortunately it doesn't feel broad enough
13. - Cheap kitschy eurodance that feels out of place for the new era
14. - Just like most of their recent entries, it's too safe to a point where nothing stands out
15. - Its chances were slim but the death slot is like a pre-announced defeat
16. - Yeah...isolated for all the reasons