My thoughts on the top 10 bookmakers
![Israel :il: :il:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
doesn't look like a winner performance but that wouldn't be the first time, song is great, personnality is here. High chances to win, depending of which songs are surrounded by the act in the finale and position
![Norway :no: :no:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
Pleasant song but imho not enough of a "wow effect" to make people vote for him, not a winner performance too, it's just great but just there, Israël has a better song, Estonia has a better charisma, France has a better package.
![Estonia :ee: :ee:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
I still think this could stay in the semi. For opera to succeed it has to be simple and Estonia did pull a specific staging that may lower her chances to win, the skirt/dress looked very odd to me the first time and i'm getting distracted, maybe too sophisticated for what whould have been a perfect opera-like simple performance. Still this could pull some strings and even the winner performance isn't there yet, I think the moment could be there during the finale, has far higher chances to win than Norway, very memorable.
![France :fr: :fr:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
as above, not a winner performance yet, but as Estonia, the moment could be there with the hands "waving" thing they're doing at the end and could come across the TV and make people vote for it. I would say the song is not as good as Toy, the performance not as sleek as Norway and not charismatic as Elena but they're the most "relatable" and "real" of the four above which could make them win based on average score. They're in the right middle if I can say that.
![Czech Republic :cz: :cz:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
I don't think it has a chance to win, that's the less likely to me and his injury did not help him at all (but even without I can't see this winning, can't explain why it's just my feeling)
![Italy :it: :it:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
I think, Cyprus and Sweden here have the best shots, songs alike Fuego ou DYO already won in the past, both performances are really good my only question is : Are they gonna be strong enough to beat the 4(5) others acts above ? Not so sure.
Moldova won't win 100%, not even sure this is gonna qualify based on the song alone and don't know if the hilarous staging will save this. There is something about Italy, as Czech Republic, I can't figure out why but I can't see this winning, well that could still happen ofc (for both of them) just the chances are thin. Song is cool, both performers are charismatic but Francesco had a better package and reached 6th (even with the finale staging). Last but not least Bulgaria is another performance that could stay in the semi for me, there is just something completely disconnected about them and other countries beat them in so many areas : Estonia is more powerful, France has a better alchemy and a more real feeling, Norway is just more prepared, Czech Republic has more charisma, Israel Cyprus and Sweden are more enjoyable. The song is right, performers can sing their asses off but there is nothing happening.
I'd say 7 to 8 acts out of those 10 can win. I won't rule out some countries that are not appearing in the bookies 10 such as Austria, Germany, Portugal and Hungary.