Any favorites can flop but my guess would be
and
. As opera hasn't done well in Eurovision before I can't see Il Volo changing that. If something, like comedy or childish stuff hasn't worked a few times, it is considered risky. But I guess everyone wants to see themselves. Now I don't think
will flop as being last, TOP 5 is possible thanks to jury, but for some reason I can't see it winnig. But being bookies favorite now is completely logical. I think it won't change before rehearsals and semis.