Finland:
I... can't predict how this will end. Neil Patick Harris might end up charming the pants off the televoters, but be snubbed by the jury or it might be the other way around. I predict he'll charm one half of the 50/50, but not both, and thus end up qualifying, but barely.
My current predictions:
Poland - out
Norway - qualifier (1)
Albania - qualifier (2)
Armenia - qualifier (3)
Turkey - qualifer (4)
Serbia - qualifier (5)
Russia - qualifier (6)
Switzerland - qualifer (7)
Georgia - out
Finland - qualifier (8)
(these qualifers may change as the night wears on. Albania is still very iffy and might be switched with another entry at any time)