I am pretty sure that the top 5 will consist of UK, Netherlands, Spain, Georgia and Kazakhstan. Maybe Ireland instead of Spain. The jury top 2 will most likely be Kazakhstan and Georgia, while televote top 2 will probably be UK and the Netherlands. I have a feeling that this year will be similar to last year when it comes to Jury and televote split, where the jury top scorers get a lot more points than the televote top scorers. Last year, everyone in the top 5 got more points from the Jury than from the televote, and with such a strong competition this year I don't think that this will change. The netherlands could win if they won the televote and came third with the jury, because Georgia and Kazakhstan will probably eat eachothers points away in the televote. If Georgia or Kazakhstan wanted to win, the other would have to flop with the live performance, because both songs have a very similar vibe. I see Spain as a fifth place, then Kazakhstan in fourth, UK in third, Georgia in second place and Netherlands as the winner.