How will your country vote?

[lavieenrose]

If Elhaida Dani can do it to the Final, I bet that Italy will give either 8, 10 or 12 points to because she won The Voice of Italy some years ago. I can't really predict anything about the other countries.

Would it be inaccurate to claim that that's a free 12 for her? I also think she'll get an easy 12 from Macedonia, where the song is (apparently) a #1 hit.

 

[Romeo]

votes

12. Sweden
10. Italy
8. Australia
7. Spain
6. Cyprus
5. Island
4. Denmark
3. Malta
2. Israel
1. Estonia

------------------------------

Votes

12. Italy
10. Cyprus
8. Azerbaijan
7. Sweden
6. Albania
5. Spain
4. Israel
3. Australia
2. France
1. San Marino

 

[Pawhlen]

I'm not sure where to post this, but someone on youtube has done a simulation on how they think the voting will go. It's actually pretty good and quite accurate with voting patterns. They did one last year and foresaw Israel's flop - but not as bad. It's split into 5 parts, with the first 4 uploaded already. They also do a blog with the full semi voting and the jury/televote breakdown, it's all very fancy and detailed. The 4 links are below if you fancy a watch

Part 1
Part 2
Part 3
Part 4

Part 5

 

[GermanBango]

Part 5

Can't really take this serious with all these 12's for Italy
When I said that Israel will flop last year people were hating on me ....

 

[Pawhlen]

Can't really take this serious with all these 12's for Italy
When I said that Israel will flop last year people were hating on me ....

This have been top 5 since this person began with this simulation every year:

2010

1. 225
2. 214
3. 201
4. 190
5. 170

2011

1. 262
2. 243
3. 229
4. 222
5. 203

2012

1. 253
2. 207
3. 184
4. 173
5. 169

2013

1. 269
2. 221
3. 219
4. 185
5. 184

2014

1. 211
2. 185
3. 183
4. 146
5. 146

 

[GermanBango]

This have been top 5 since this person began with this simulation every year:

2010

1. 225
2. 214
3. 201
4. 190
5. 170

2011

1. 262
2. 243
3. 229
4. 222
5. 203

2012

1. 253
2. 207
3. 184
4. 173
5. 169

2013

1. 269
2. 221
3. 219
4. 185
5. 184

2014

1. 211
2. 185
3. 183
4. 146
5. 146

Jep that's what I meant - In the end it is just a prediction. People don't want to hear that but numbers mean almost nothing. I made a voting myself, based on voting patterns, polls and odds - I can tell you that it looks quite different
In this case it seems more like personal preferences sometimes. Anyway he's doing a great job with the visuals.

 

[Pawhlen]

Still he managed to get 4 of 5 countries right in 2013

 

[GermanBango]

Still he managed to get 4 of 5 countries right in 2013

on the other hand the actual winners weren't even in his Top 5 in 2014 & 2010. At the end of the day, predictions are only something to make us fans happy.
... BUT I have to admit that he picked the right winner this year

 

[eerik]

I'm not sure where to post this, but someone on youtube has done a simulation on how they think the voting will go. It's actually pretty good and quite accurate with voting patterns. They did one last year and foresaw Israel's flop - but not as bad. It's split into 5 parts, with the first 4 uploaded already. They also do a blog with the full semi voting and the jury/televote breakdown, it's all very fancy and detailed. The 4 links are below if you fancy a watch

Part 1
Part 2
Part 3
Part 4

They expect Estonia to give only five points to Finland in the semi?! What are they smoking??

 

[Leydan]

They expect Estonia to give only five points to Finland in the semi?! What are they smoking??

Well they expect Finland to do really bad.

 

[SpZ]

Well they expect Finland to do really bad.

Well even if Finland does really bad, they will still score more from Estonia because
1) Heavier types of music are actually more mainstream here than in other countries and people vote for it (eg giving Kabat 1 point or Winny Puhh being close to winning Estonian nf)
2) It is Finland
3) The Estonian jury is traditionally not bashing non mainstream songs.

 

[carl1]

Yeah I am 100% sure that Finland will get minimum 8 points from us, more likely 10 or 12.

 

[lavieenrose]

Here goes for how we'd vote if we were in Eurovision:
12: Australia
10: Albania
8: Norway
7: Belgium
6: Sweden (this might've been a bit higher if it didn't have the electro-schlager breakdown after the first minute)
5: Azerbaijan
4: Estonia
3: Latvia
2: Ireland
1: Macedonia or Iceland, most likely the former

 

[Joyride]

I think German points go to - assumed the will all participate in the final - Sweden, Estonia, Slovenia, Belgium, Norway, Italy, Spain, Russia, Iceland and probably Czech Republic, because Marta Jandova is well known in Germany and has lived/worked for many years in Germany.

 

[lavieenrose]

I think German points go to...Czech Republic, because Marta Jandova is well known in Germany and has lived/worked for many years in Germany.

I really hope so.

 

[Krishoes]

If Elhaida Dani can do it to the Final, I bet that Italy will give either 8, 10 or 12 points to because she won The Voice of Italy some years ago. I can't really predict anything about the other countries.

Me too... it's hard to predict the italian votes, I've been really surprised to see 12 points to Denmark in 2013 (not because she didn't deserve the votes but 'cause it's strange for me to see Italy gives the maximum amount of votes to the winner XD)

 

[Leydan]

Me too... it's hard to predict the italian votes, I've been really surprised to see 12 points to Denmark in 2013 (not because she didn't deserve the votes but 'cause it's strange for me to see Italy gives the maximun amount of votes to the winner XD)

Especially with how they shunned Loreen in 2012.

 

[Krishoes]

Especially with how they shunned Loreen in 2012.

Oh Gosh... sorry Sweden, it was a shame for me!!! I think we won't get points from Sweden until the end of the Eurovision...

 

[Leydan]

Oh Gosh... sorry Sweden, it was a shame for me!!! I think we won't get points from Sweden until the end of the Eurovision...

Bjorkman is probably planning Italy's flop as we speak.

 

[Krishoes]

Bjorkman is probably planning Italy's flop as we speak.

But... who is still in the reference group and who is no longer there?