Eurovision 2011 - Running Order draw

[DerMarcelos7]

happened
sabine heinrichs fault it was
I could travel to düsseldorf and tell them they should repeat all
just 10 km to the stadium for me

 

[aletem]

I don't think Austria will qualify from #2. And also #13 in the final has a good shot of doing well (whoever will that be). And Albania with #3 has low chances. I also think Macedonia's chances with that draw are slim.

 

[Joabi]

I think switzerland will qualify because it's the first quite song in the evening. so it gets lots of attention.

 

[FallenAngelII]

I think switzerland will qualify because it's the first quite song in the evening. so it gets lots of attention.

It's also crap.

 

[broomhelga]

When is the voting order draw?

 

[pyryniemi]

Bulgaria coming last in 1st half is also good position.

Bulgaria was in 2nd half.

 

[ParadiseES]

Albania (after Poland and Norway) and Serbia (after Turkey) are the most unlucky countries in semi-1. I think Hungary and Azerbaijan will stand out here and I could see Armenia out of the final (but I won't have much hopes, cause we all know....)

In the second semi, The Netherlands (after strong ballad by Austria) and, especially, Cyprus (after Sweden) and Belarus (after Estonia) will be eclipsed. I don't think Ireland's draw last is a good one, after a strong entry like Denmark. I think Estonia and then Sweden will stand out. But we'll see

In the final, two of the favourites, France and UK, didn't have a very good draw. Sometimes is even better the very beginning than those med places, especially the 11th for France. But Italy was the most unlucky performinf 12th and after France... And about Spain, I hope this good draw can make us improve last year place and be at least closer to the top-10 (reaching it seems almost impossible imo...)

 

[ParadiseES]

Here are some interesting statistics I found out on escnation (yeah, i'm already looking forward for the esc simulator 2011 )

This is the % of times of qualifying for each running place:
1. 50% (Poland / Bosnia-Herzegovina)
2. 50% (Norway / Austria)
3. 25% (Albania / Netherlands)
4. 25% (Armenia / Belgium)
5. 13% (Turkey / Slovakia)
6. 38% (Serbia / Ukraine)
7. 38% (Russia / Moldova)
8. 50% (Switzerland / Sweden)
9. 38% (Georgia / Cyprus)
10. 75% (Finland / Bulgaria)
11. 38% (Malta / FYR-Macedonia)
12. 50% (San Marino / Israel)
13. 75% (Croatia / Slovenia)
14. 100% (Iceland / Romania)
15. 50% (Hungary / Estonia)
16. 75% (Portugal / Belarus)
17. 50% (Lithuania / Latvia)
18. 88% (Azerbaijan / Denmark)
19. 75% (Greece / Ireland)


And this is the average place for each one:
1. Avg: 11.0 (Poland / Bosnia-Herzegovina)
2. Avg: 11.3 (Norway / Austria)
3. Avg: 15.2 (Albania / Netherlands)
4. Avg: 12.2 (Armenia / Belgium)
5. Avg: 14.0 (Turkey / Slovakia)
6. Avg: 11.5 (Serbia / Ukraine)
7. Avg: 10.3 (Russia / Moldova)
8. Avg: 11.6 (Switzerland / Sweden)
9. Avg: 11.5 (Georgia / Cyprus)
10. Avg: 8.5 (Finland / Bulgaria)
11. Avg: 11.3 (Malta / FYR-Macedonia)
12. Avg: 9.0 (San Marino / Israel)
13. Avg: 6.3 (Croatia / Slovenia)
14. Avg: 6.5 (Iceland / Romania)
15. Avg: 11.4 (Hungary / Estonia)
16. Avg: 9.0 (Portugal / Belarus)
17. Avg: 10.4 (Lithuania / Latvia)
18. Avg: 5.3 (Azerbaijan / Denmark)
19. Avg: 5.8 (Greece / Ireland)


However, I think the most important thing is the entry performed just before. A strong entry makes the 1-2 following entries to get more unnotices.

 

[MyHeartIsYours]

Im sooooooooo happy about Ireland's draw!! United Kingdom could have got a better place but 14 is quite good - at least it's not number 2 or 3!

 

[94ayd]

Hmm, I'm not quite sure what to think of number 10. It seems it has been very lucky in previous years. It's exactly in the middle, plus a number you can't forget easily, so maybe it's a good one. It's funny how all the non-English songs are in the middle (Cyprus, Bulgaria, Macedonia & most of Israel). Maybe that'll make the group stand out and Bulgaria, especially as it's between too rather weak songs (I like Cyprus but still). It's funny how the Netherlands and Belgium are next to each other. Ukraine also has two neighbours around it - Slovakia & Moldova. Another one is Belarus, who's surrounded by Estonia and Latvia (a neighbour). Bulgaria & Macedonia is another pair. I'm mostly glad about Poland. It's my fave, so I'm happy it's gonna be the first song we're gonna hear. I don't see why you're worrying about Norway, as the girl is a baaaad singer. Norway might actually fail, as both singers before and after it are very good ones. It's funny how after Albania we have the countries who always or at least usually do well - Armenia, Turkey, Serbia, Russia... Also, Azerbaijan and Greece in the end and I hope they cancel each other out cos I really dislike both. The only neighbours performing one after another are Armenia & Turkey. In the first semi the non-English songs seem to be at the two ends, so it's gonna be interesting and way different to the second one.

 

[JackBauer]

Here are some interesting statistics I found out on escnation (yeah, i'm already looking forward for the esc simulator 2011 )

This is the % of times of qualifying for each running place:
1. 50% (Poland / Bosnia-Herzegovina)
2. 50% (Norway / Austria)
3. 25% (Albania / Netherlands)
4. 25% (Armenia / Belgium)
5. 13% (Turkey / Slovakia)
6. 38% (Serbia / Ukraine)
7. 38% (Russia / Moldova)
8. 50% (Switzerland / Sweden)
9. 38% (Georgia / Cyprus)
10. 75% (Finland / Bulgaria)
11. 38% (Malta / FYR-Macedonia)
12. 50% (San Marino / Israel)
13. 75% (Croatia / Slovenia)
14. 100% (Iceland / Romania)
15. 50% (Hungary / Estonia)
16. 75% (Portugal / Belarus)
17. 50% (Lithuania / Latvia)
18. 88% (Azerbaijan / Denmark)
19. 75% (Greece / Ireland)

Funny you posted this Paradise, i just realized how, take one or two exceptions, every good or ok song mirror a good song at the same draw in the other semi & how much an awful one have an horrible one singing at the same draw in the other semi.

 

[FallenAngelII]

Iceland is gonna break that 100% streak. Craptastic entry is craptastic.

 

[lucian-crusher]

It's a perfect draw for us! Right after and before the break!
Also I can see 14th is the only position with 100% qualifiyng rate and has also a 100 % qualifying rate, so we are 200 % in the Final!

 

[evilperson]

Everyone needs to look out for number 16 in semi-final 2. That one may be the winner of the semi and possibly the whole ESC.

 

[Fichko]

When we will know the voting order?!

 

[MyHeartIsYours]

When we will know the voting order?!

I hope Ireland votes first!

 

[evilperson]

Belarussian humour aside, I've actually heard that the EBU will legitimately announce changes to the voting procedure in the upcoming days/week.

 

[lucian-crusher]

I hope votes first, so we can be the first leader! We had that chance in 2009 to with voting first but the introduction of juries ruined it for us that year (

 

[MyHeartIsYours]

Belarussian humour aside, I've actually heard that the EBU will legitimately announce changes to the voting procedure in the upcoming days/week.

Yeah, I know wikipedia isnt too reliable but it says 'the voting system for the final is yet to be decided', so I wonder what's going to happen. I hope they take my idea of each country giving two sets of 1-12 points, one jury and one televote . But that's probably doubtful!

 

[evilperson]

If you ask me, I think the voting change should be in the form of a rule that declares Belarus the winner.