Well let's try a prediction then
Path A:
Sadly, Iceland is in a heavy decline. They are approximately on the same level with Romania and Hungary, Bulgaria is pretty weak.
I see Iceland beating Romania, in extra-time if necessay, since they can still mostly rely on their 'home strength'
The final could be Hungary vs Iceland and it would be a pretty close match with Hungary having a slight advantage imo.
is my guess here. They would join the Germany group. Other than that, it would be nice to see my home country facing my favorite country (Iceland). But from what I've seen from Iceland since the WC 2018 I can tell you they've got no business in the Euro and they would become the whipping boy of the tournament. Not sure if I'd like to see that.
Path B:
Bosnia beat Northern Ireland twice in the Nations league group stage and I think they will beat them again. I can't put the finger on what was wrong with them in the qualification campaign but I still believe they are better than Northern Ireland, especially on home ground.
Slovakia vs Ireland could turn into extra time of penalty shoot-out, but I'll bet on Slovakia
Since I might overestimate the home advantage so far I believe that Slovakia might also beat Bosnia on their home pitch and win that Path B
prediction:
. They would join the Spain group
Path C:
This is the path I am interested in the most. Because I am crossing my fingers so much for Norway as they'd really deserve it. If theyve been a little more smarter in the qualification they would have qualified already. They gave away 2:0 leads against both Sweden and Romania and they eventually lost only a single match. And I love to see their big talents Odegaard and Haland on a big stage like the Euro.
Since Norway would have two home matches + they are imo the best team here I believe they will qualify. Norway vs Serbia seems to be the 'true final' for me. Neither Scotland not Israel will challenge them
Guess:
. Winners will join England in group C
Path D
Kosovo is the best squad but they also got the unluckiest draw. Macedonia is decent (became 3rd in the qualification group) they might beat Kosovo on home ground ... but I will go with my guts and bet on Kosovo here
Georgia is a safe finalist for me, they should definitely beat Belarus. Georgia looked great at home lately, drawing with Denmark and Ireland, even dominated the latter. I think they might beat Kosovo by 1:0 or something
Guess:
, even though I would not like this at all. No offense against Georgia but I would love to see Kosovo in the Euro, they are having nice players and most attractive playing style among the teams here but I just think it will be extremly tight.
Georgia would join the group of Netherlands and Ukraine