ESCNation Simulator 2011

[lucian-crusher]

My result:

1. France (223)
2. Moldova (188)
3. Estonia (178)
4. Russia (154)
5. Denmark (134)
6. Armenia (133)
7. Germany (132)
8. Bulgaria (129)
9. Azerbaijan (128)
10. Malta (122)
11. Finland (109)
12. Norway (108)
13. Ireland (99)
14. Iceland (88)
15. Bosnia Herzegovina (86)
16. Italy (85)
17. Hungary (84)
18. Slovenia (64)
19. Romania (56)
20. Spain (41)
21. Austria (40)
22. Switzerland (39)
23. FYR Macedonia (30)
24. Poland (26)
25. United Kingdom (18)

 

[Mark-ESC14]

My Result:

1. Estonia (237)
2. Poland (213)
3. Hungary (166)
4. Greece (154)
5. France (154)
6. Turkey (139)
7. Russia (136)
8. Norway (124)
9. Netherlands (107)
10. Bosnia Herzegovina (104)
11. Ukraine (102)
12. Denmark (102)
13. Sweden (101)
14. Serbia (100)
15. Azerbaijan (94)
16. Romania (90)
17. Slovenia (84)
18. Germany (75)
19. United Kingdom (59)
20. Finland (50)
21. Albania (40)
22. Spain (27)
23. Israel (15)
24. Italy (13)

 

[Jonathan]

 

[Sean]

Just did this based on what chances I think each entry has:

1. Latvia (224)
2. Russia (194)
3. Estonia (183)
4. Cyprus (177)
5. Sweden (165)
6. Germany (131)
7. Norway (124)
8. Turkey (119)
9. Slovenia (107)
10. FYR Macedonia (106)
11. Azerbaijan (104)
12. Ukraine (92)
13. Armenia (89)
14. Ireland (86)
15. United Kingdom (83)
16. Denmark (83)
17. Croatia (70)
18. Slovakia (70)
19. Georgia (61)
20. France (53)
21. Italy (51)
22. Poland (51)
23. Serbia (45)
24. Spain (20)
25. Hungary (6)

Even though I placed Hungary quite high and Cyprus quite low xD

 

[A.B.]

1. Poland (310)
2. Iceland (250)
3. Norway (227)
4. FYR Macedonia (200)
5. Belarus (148)
6. Russia (144)
7. United Kingdom (122)
8. Azerbaijan (115)
9. Bosnia Herzegovina (110)
10. Albania (108)
11. San Marino (90)
12. Sweden (89)
13. Armenia (88)
14. Turkey (84)
15. Romania (78)
16. Germany (73)
17. Slovenia (62)
18. Ukraine (59)
19. Israel (35)
20. Finland (29)
21. Slovakia (28)
22. Italy (21)
23. Ireland (13)
24. France (7)
25. Spain (4)


I agree with the top 3. It's quite realistic! I don't know what to say about Macedonia and Belarus. I love Belarus! [but not that much!]

 

[damienn]

My result:

1. France (223)
2. Moldova (188)
3. Estonia (178)
4. Russia (154)
5. Denmark (134)
6. Armenia (133)
7. Germany (132)
8. Bulgaria (129)
9. Azerbaijan (128)
10. Malta (122)
11. Finland (109)
12. Norway (108)
13. Ireland (99)
14. Iceland (88)
15. Bosnia Herzegovina (86)
16. Italy (85)
17. Hungary (84)
18. Slovenia (64)
19. Romania (56)
20. Spain (41)
21. Austria (40)
22. Switzerland (39)
23. FYR Macedonia (30)
24. Poland (26)
25. United Kingdom (18)

I like your list, if this come true it means Swe won't even make the finals, and that would probably be the best thing that could happend to Sweden, in my hopes for,, a better tomorrow.

 

[r3gg13]

My results: I couldn't imagine Turkey being that high, UK and Azerbaijan being low

1. Sweden (239)
2. Estonia (206)
3. France (193)
4. Turkey (179)
5. Georgia (154)
6. Russia (153)
7. Spain (137)
8. Denmark (117)
9. Austria (102)
10. Armenia (101)
11. Bosnia Herzegovina (99)
12. Finland (95)
13. Norway (94)
14. Germany (81)
15. United Kingdom (74)
16. Slovenia (64)
17. Ireland (64)
18. Israel (64)
19. Italy (62)
20. Moldova (51)
21. Greece (39)
22. Malta (33)
23. Azerbaijan (31)
24. Serbia (31)

 

[Shqiperia]

My result:
1. Norway (299)
2. Estonia (169)
3. Ukraine (160)
4. Lithuania (158)
5. Albania (154)
6. Armenia (153)
7. Cyprus (148)
8. Turkey (143)
9. San Marino (140)
10. Slovakia (136)
11. Slovenia (104)
12. Spain (94)
13. Azerbaijan (83)
14. Italy (83)
15. Denmark (71)
16. Bosnia Herzegovina (70)
17. Germany (69)
18. Ireland (61)
19. Netherlands (52)
20. Hungary (37)
21. Malta (36)
22. Israel (29)
23. Georgia (28)
24. France (14)
25. United Kingdom (3)

 

[Jonathan]

I make and VS battle every day for now - whos best?

- Senit - Stand by
or
- Nadine Beiler - The Secret is Love

 

[94ayd]

Now look what happened to me:

Semi 1:

1. Iceland (145)
2. Russia (121)
3. Norway (103)
4. Armenia (102)
5. Poland (101)
6. San Marino (101)
7. Serbia (72)
8. Georgia (72)
9. Turkey (66)
10. Albania (58)
11. Croatia (55)
12. Malta (54)
13. Azerbaijan (51)
14. Switzerland (41)
15. Lithuania (29)
16. Hungary (17)
17. Greece (15)
18. Finland (12)
19. Portugal (3)

Semi 2:

1. Belarus (157)
2. Belgium (131)
3. Ireland (118)
4. Slovenia (115)
5. Israel (114)
6. Bulgaria (107)
7. Romania (106)
8. Slovakia (70)
9. Estonia (67)
10. Latvia (60)
11. Ukraine (52)
12. Netherlands (50)
13. FYR Macedonia (30)
14. Bosnia Herzegovina (28)
15. Cyprus (25)
16. Moldova (22)
17. Denmark (19)
18. Austria (4)
19. Sweden (1) 3

Final:

1. Bulgaria (178)
2. Belarus (169) 3
3. Slovenia (165)
4. Ireland (142)
5. Spain (140)
6. Romania (138)
7. Latvia (137)
8. Serbia (134)
9. Armenia (134)
10. Israel (127)
11. Russia (116)
12. Poland (110)
13. Georgia (106)
14. Turkey (86)
15. Iceland (82)
16. Estonia (80)
17. United Kingdom (80)
18. Belgium (69)
19. Albania (64)
20. Italy (54)
21. San Marino (45)
22. Norway (41)
23. Germany (41)
24. France (39)
25. Slovakia (17)

 

[Steffan]

1. Azerbaijan (270) o.o
2. Croatia (196)
3. Estonia (195)
4. Hungary (194)
5. Portugal (166) no no no
6. Slovenia (161)
7. Bosnia Herzegovina (150)
8. FYR Macedonia (121) no no no
9. Netherlands (115)
10. Albania (112)
11. Sweden (96)
12. Turkey (94)
13. Armenia (89)
14. Denmark (82)
15. Spain (77)
16. Austria (63)
17. United Kingdom (59)
18. Serbia (47)
19. Poland (43)
20. Ireland (42)
21. Romania (39)
22. Germany (36)
23. Norway (33)
24. Italy (14)
25. France (0) = AHAHAHAHAHHAHA

 

[aletem]

I tried the simulator, assigning chances of success based on: who votes for whom (neighbouring, diaspora and jury votes), qualification pattern and odds. Kinda assigned a chance percentage for all, and this was the outcome. I have to say. All the qualifiers look realistic (It might have been better if Hungary was instead of Albania or someone else). Just Romania, Poland and Spain finished too high (Romania is wayy too high for some reason ). And France is too low.

1. Russia (147)
2. Albania (129)
3. Croatia (117)
4. Azerbaijan (117)
5. Poland (110)
6. Armenia (102)
7. Norway (90)
8. Greece (69)
9. Serbia (62)
10. Turkey (57)
11. Lithuania (49)
12. Switzerland (37)
13. Iceland (33)
14. Hungary (25)
15. Georgia (20)
16. Portugal (20)
17. Finland (19)
18. San Marino (11)
19. Malta (4)


1. Bosnia Herzegovina (201)
2. Sweden (136)
3. Romania (130)
4. Denmark (122)
5. Belarus (118)
6. Estonia (107)
7. Netherlands (78)
8. FYR Macedonia (71)
9. Slovakia (58)
10. Ukraine (54)
11. Latvia (51)
12. Israel (38)
13. Cyprus (35)
14. Slovenia (23)
15. Ireland (22)
16. Austria (19)
17. Bulgaria (12)
18. Moldova (1)
19. Belgium (0)

1. Denmark (227)
2. Romania (206)
3. Sweden (202)
4. Poland (200)
5. United Kingdom (195)
6. Belarus (137)
7. Bosnia Herzegovina (132)
8. Armenia (111)
9. Russia (108)
10. Norway (98)
11. Azerbaijan (97)
12. Spain (95)
13. Albania (86)
14. Turkey (85)
15. Greece (69)
16. Italy (68)
17. Serbia (66)
18. Germany (64)
19. Croatia (61)
20. Slovakia (53)
21. FYR Macedonia (46)
22. Estonia (39)
23. Ukraine (27)
24. Netherlands (11)
25. France (11)

 

[Grinch]

1. Norway (254)
2. Germany (200)
3. Azerbaijan (159)
4. Slovenia (155)
5. Hungary (144)
6. Bosnia Herzegovina (136)
7. United Kingdom (134)
8. Romania (129)
9. Armenia (111)
10. Sweden (110)
11. Russia (106)
12. France (98)
13. Italy (97)
14. Estonia (96)
15. Turkey (93)
16. Ireland (92)
17. Greece (64)
18. Poland (64)
19. Israel (57)
20. Slovakia (45)
21. Georgia (39)
22. Denmark (32)
23. Croatia (31)
24. Belarus (30)
25. Spain (18)

 

[MrJadeEwen]

I've done a simulator with audio

 

[Mark-ESC14]

1. Hungary (231)
2. Sweden (215)
3. France (162)
4. Iceland (143)
5. Switzerland (139)
6. Slovenia (120)
7. Cyprus (117)
8. Estonia (117)
9. Russia (116)
10. Turkey (111)
11. Finland (106)
12. Denmark (100)
13. Armenia (96)
14. Ukraine (93)
15. Norway (79)
16. Romania (77)
17. Israel (76)
18. United Kingdom (66)
19. Azerbaijan (63)
20. Austria (62)
21. Germany (53)
22. Greece (51)
23. Netherlands (35)
24. Italy (35)
25. Spain (31)

Cyprus and Iceland are way too high XD

 

[doctormalisimo]

This time I based the odds on what songs I like. I'm glad my favourite won, but Moldova and Sweden never should have qualified, Estonia and Switzerland should have qualified, but other than that I'm happy with the results

1. Russia (211)
2. Romania (191)
3. Serbia (172)
4. Poland (169)
5. Moldova (144)
6. Portugal (144)
7. Croatia (141)
8. San Marino (130)
9. Spain (127)
10. Norway (118)
11. Armenia (117)
12. Ukraine (90)
13. Germany (86)
14. Bulgaria (84)
15. Italy (79)
16. Bosnia Herzegovina (77)
17. Azerbaijan (73)
18. Ireland (60)
19. Netherlands (56)
20. Hungary (52)
21. Belarus (51)
22. Sweden (49)
23. United Kingdom (35)
24. Israel (29)
25. France (9)


1. Poland (149)
2. Russia (132)
3. Croatia (102)
4. Armenia (101)
5. San Marino (100)
6. Portugal (100)
7. Serbia (97)
8. Norway (84)
9. Azerbaijan (64)
10. Hungary (56)
11. Turkey (47)
12. Finland (38)
13. Iceland (37)
14. Malta (27)
15. Switzerland (22)
16. Albania (21)
17. Greece (20)
18. Georgia (12)
19. Lithuania (9)

1. Moldova (164)
2. Romania (139)
3. Ireland (99)
4. Bosnia Herzegovina (99)
5. Bulgaria (91)
6. Belarus (73)
7. Netherlands (73)
8. Sweden (73)
9. Israel (68)
10. Ukraine (68)
11. Slovenia (65)
12. Slovakia (59)
13. Cyprus (49)
14. Austria (44)
15. Denmark (42)
16. FYR Macedonia (40)
17. Belgium (19)
18. Estonia (10)
19. Latvia (1)

 

[Centrix]

Using current betting odds and allowing neighbour/diaspora voting:

1. Sweden (203)
2. France (190)
3. Bosnia Herzegovina (171)
4. United Kingdom (152)
5. Azerbaijan (129)
6. Turkey (123)
7. Norway (118)
8. Austria (112)
9. Slovenia (111)
10. Denmark (109)
11. Russia (105)
12. Ireland (104)
13. Greece (100)
14. Moldova (90)
15. Slovakia (85)
16. Georgia (82)
17. Hungary (81)
18. Portugal (73)
19. Romania (72)
20. Poland (64)
21. Finland (63)
22. Italy (55)
23. Germany (46)
24. Ukraine (41)

 

[Narmina]

mmm Top 5 for this moment ))) not bad at all ))))

 

[Sahistul]

That is my result:

1. Turkey (277)
2. Serbia (263)
3. Poland (170)
4. Bosnia Herzegovina (157)
5. Finland (157)
6. Estonia (143)
7. Azerbaijan (129)
8. France (116)
9. Israel (115)
10. Slovenia (112)
11. Russia (102)
12. Norway (90)
13. Croatia (83)
14. Greece (80)
15. Hungary (76)
16. Bulgaria (71)
17. Netherlands (64)
18. Slovakia (60)
19. United Kingdom (44)
20. Belarus (41)
21. Spain (37)
22. Cyprus (37)
23. Italy (31)
24. Denmark (20)
25. Germany (19)

 

[Grinch]

That is my result:

1. Turkey (277)
2. Serbia (263)
3. Poland (170)
4. Bosnia Herzegovina (157)
5. Finland (157)
6. Estonia (143)
7. Azerbaijan (129)
8. France (116)
9. Israel (115)
10. Slovenia (112)
11. Russia (102)
12. Norway (90)
13. Croatia (83)
14. Greece (80)
15. Hungary (76)
16. Bulgaria (71)
17. Netherlands (64)
18. Slovakia (60)
19. United Kingdom (44)
20. Belarus (41)
21. Spain (37)
22. Cyprus (37)
23. Italy (31)
24. Denmark (20)
25. Germany (19)