Dark horses / Flops

[Bobjan FR]

Belgium dark horse

UK flop

 

[GermanBango]

I think might end up being this year's France 2022.

 

[ESC94]

To be honest I´m not suprised at all about flopping in the televote, it was just waaay to exhausting for viewers unfamiliar with this kind of music.

 

[Looren]

Dark horses :

I have the feeling Noa will pull off a hell of a performance, Israel can end up top 5

I think can get left side of scorebiard

Flop :

I feel will underperform, something like 15-20

will flop in semi I think

3/4

Well maybe 2.5/4 since I still thought UK would manage to avoid bottom 5

Decent overall I guess

 

[gigi_copp3]

Belgium the real dark horse.
Flops Spain, UK, France, Austria

 

[gigi_copp3]

To be honest I´m not suprised at all about flopping in the televote, it was just waaay to exhausting for viewers unfamiliar with this kind of music.

I was convinced of Spain flopping but when I tried to say this, I was literally shut up.

 

[SpiritofKeiino]

I was convinced of Spain flopping but when I tried to say this, I was literally shut up.

I was wrong on Eaea, I thought it would get left side in televote. I said it wouldn't do a Fulenn because the quality of the staging and performance were much higher. I was wrong, you were correct!

 

[aef]

Belgium the real dark horse.
Flops Spain, UK, France, Austria

Looking at the SF result is not a flop. Or what's your definition of a flop?

To be honest I´m not suprised at all about flopping in the televote, it was just waaay to exhausting for viewers unfamiliar with this kind of music.

I also knew it from the beginning. (But of course it's easy to say so at this point haha)

 

[lasse braun]

good morning!
i would choose the jurys as dark horse.

 

[heke1988]

Televote flops:

Jury flops:

 

[nudiecrudi]

Looking at the SF result is not a flop. Or what's your definition of a flop

Austria was one of the most hyped songs this year. Fans were crazy about it, me too. All the rankings on YT or various forums indicated Austria as top 5 material
Getting that low televote means flopping.
Don't count the semifinal, with only 15 countries 10 countries get votes. The probability to get votes is high. Different in the final

 

[MS.]

I agree with most things here especially:
Switzerland if they get the staging and the visuals right it has a great potential even with the public vote in the semis. Especially because of the context obviously. Bookies have it as qualified not for nothing.
I also think Uk may flop hard unfortunately because this is not the type of song that juries will heavily support i think and i don't see other nations voting for it as their favorite neither.

But i am not sure about 2 of these:
Czech republic: I agree that their live performances have been bad but they are getting better and if they nail the visuals perfectly in liverpool as they did in their clip it still has a potential of a top 5. But yeah it really can go either way. And it also can finish outside of the top 10.

Juries will burry Ukraine's chances this time, but i won't be surprised if Ukraine end up even winning the televote again honestly.It is still a possibility. So i can understand the bookies. With the huge ukrainian diaspora in all Europe and with people from whole europe wanting to show support for ukraine everything can happen. Even though i agree with you that at the end it is probably finishing top 10 and not higher.

Other dark horses for me are:
I think that Alika's voice is a huge jury pleaser. So if she qualifies she will get huge points from jurys.
I'm personnally not a fan of the song. But Noa Kirel is a famous artist who will obviously sell it extremely well. Jurys will easily support a famous artist with a great voice, and if she nails her staging and her moves she has a chance.
i think eurofans tend to underestimate how many rock fans there are. And passionate rock fans vote massively. I've seen people saying that Germany may end up last but i don't see that personnally. It can even finish top 10 maybe.

Well i'm happy with most of my predictions especially Estonia.
But i did get it completely wrong with Germany though. It did end last unfortunately.