Yeeeehaaaaw it`s prediction time
Team prediction by sports
Alpine Skiing (0-2 medals)
Tough one. Seems like the conditions are veeeeery much windy up there so who knows. Guess the Germans are most likely to snatch a medal in the Team Event. Then again they were surprisingly strong at last year`s world championships.
Contenders: Kira Weidle (Downhill), Romed Baumann (Downhill), Mixed Team (Slalom Team Event), Lena Dürr (Slalom) and Linuß Strasser (Slalom)
Biathlon (0-2 medals)
My heart is bleeding as biathlon is by far my favorite sport to watch but ... the Germans (especially) the women are just not good enough atm to snatch medals en masse. I do think that the guys will get at least one medal somewhere though. Fingers crossed.
Contenders: Benedikt Doll and the Men Relay
Bobsleigh (4-6 medals)
Well not much to say here.Gotta get those medals somewhere, right? Srsly though I wouldn`t be completely shocked if they actually won all 4 golds. Well ... probably not the monobob one but ...we shall see.
Contenders: All of them really
Cross-Country Skiing (0-1 medals)
Basically impossible to win a medal here considering the Scandinavian/Russian domination. IF at all I`d say Katharina Hennig has a shot at bronze in the 10km classic race. But I would be very surprised tbh.
Contenders: Katharina Hennig (10 km)
Ice Hockey (0-1 medals)
I`m down for another upset silver guys but it´s close to impossible to recreate that.
Luge (4-6 medals)
Medals guaranteed basically. Anything but at least three golds would be a massive surprise to me. Gotta admit that the men were pretty meh in the training runs though. The women might even win all three medals and the doubles could very well win two. As for the team ... gold pls.
Contenders: All of them really
Nordic Combined (1-3 medals)
I mean ... it`s not gonna be as good as it was four years ago, that´s for sure. The Germans are just too inconsistent on the hills. They will win a medal in the Team Relay 99% ... probably not gold though as I expect the Austrians to have a massive lead after the jumping.
Contenders: All of them really
Skeleton (1-3 medals)
Not much to say. Women and men are all more than capable of winning medals, golden ones even.
Ski Jumping (2-5 medals)
This one`s a big ? for me. I am certain that they will win medals in the Team and Mixed Team events. Other than that ... phew idk. Katharina Althaus seems poised to win the first German medal at these Olympics but then again ... there are soooo many strong Slovenes. As for the guys ... well a few days ago I would have said two medals here are likely but they do seem to have their issues with the regular hill.
Contenders: Katharina Althaus, Karl Geiger, Markus Eisenbichler as well as the Mixed and Men Team
Snowboarding (1-3 medals)
I expect strong competitions from the male crossers and the male as well as the female giantslalom boarders.
Contenders: Ramona Hofmeister (GS), Stefan Baumeister (GS), Martin Nörl (Cross), Paul Berg (Cross)
Definitely no medals in Curling, Figure Skating, Speed Skating, Short Track and Freestyle Skiing
Overall prediction:
23-30 medals (With 7-11 golds)
And that`s a wrap. Let`s have a look at the actual performance of Team Germany.
Alpine Skiing
Prediction: 0-2 medals // Result: 0-1-0 = 1
They did good but not great. Especially the forth places by Lena Dürr (Slalom) and Kira Weidle (Downhill) were really unfortunate. The men however did kinda disappoint. Overall it`s a better result than in 2018 were they didn`t win a single medal though there was potential for more.
Biathlon
Prediction: 0-2 medals // Result: 1-0-1 = 2
Well they did what was possible considering the massive dominance by
and
, I guess. It came as a massive surprise that it was the women who won both medals while the men didn`t win a single one (for the first time in 10 years). Denise Herrmann`s gold was probably one of my overall highlights of these OWG. They have a lot of work to do if they want to be up there again, that`s for sure.
Bobsleigh
Prediction: 4-6 medals // Result: 3-3-1 = 7
One word: dominance. Not much to add here - they were the overwhelming favs and man they did deliver. The monobob competition ended up being the only small disappointment but hey, the Germans won 7 out of 12 medals so.
Cross-Country Skiing
Prediction: 0-1 medals // Result: 1-1-0 = 2
I am really happy that our women are competitive again and won the first cc medals for Germany since 2014 (first gold since 2010 even). They steadily got better over the past few years so it`s great that their hard work did pay off already. I think it`s safe to say that they exceeded all expectations.
Freestyle Skiing
Prediction: 0 medals // Result: 0-0-1 = 1
An unexpected surprise for sure BUT it`s really apparent that we are really far behind the top here.
Ice Hockey
Prediction: 0-1 medals // Result: 0
Can`t say that I am surprised. 2018 was probably a once-in-a-lifetime-thing.
Luge
Prediction: 4-6 medals // Result: 4-2-0 = 6
They rocked the track without any doubt. Back to winning all the golds after missing out on one of them in 2018. The German team won 6 out of 9 possible medals so there is really nothing to criticize here.
Nordic Combined
Prediction: 1-3 medals // Result: 1-1-0 = 2
I don`t want to talk about a disappointment here (although they obvs won 5 medals and all the golds in 2018). They did what they could this year. If only they would be a little better on the hill.
Skeleton
Prediction: 1-3 medals // Result: 2-1-0 = 3
We should really propose to move all competitions to the sliding track haha. The men won their first ever skeleton medals for Germany in the OWG and it was also the first time that a German won gold here. They were really great which even took me by surprise.
Ski Jumping
Prediction: 2-5 medals // Result: 0-1-2 = 3
Hmmm considering how strong the male jumpers were this season the result is a bit of a letdown tbh. Then again the ski jumping competitions at these OWG were a big fat joke full of riggory so ... maybe they did the best out of the shitty situation.
Snowboarding
Prediction: 1-3 medals // Result: 0
The only real disappointment.
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Overall
Prediction: 23-30 medals with 7-11 golds // Result: 12-10-5 = 27
Overall the team did really good. It`s great to see almost all of them being able to bring their A-game during these OWG. I doubt that anyone would have dreamed of 12 German Olympic champions this year and 27 medals in total is only a slight decline compared to 2018 (31). I am happy that the German team was able to defend the second place in the medal table.
As for the games: Let`s just say I am relieved that the next few editions are gonna be held in (mostly) democratic states.