Netherlands and they finally deserve it!
Bulgaria seems very unlikely and Latvia & Montenegro too.
I don't know about San Marino ... I don't like it much but I know many people in here do, so maybe.
I think San Marino will pass to the final and so will The Netherlands (I hope).
Bulgaria also has a good chance.
The other two do not have much chance I'm afraid.
If Anouk doesn't qualify I will be VERY surprised! For me she really is a certain qualifier. She will probably do very well with the juries, but I also expect her to be top 10 with the televotes in her final. I feel very confident about Sam Marino as well. But of course; a bad performance can ruin Valentinas chances. I just can't see Anouk doing a bad performance.... Latvia no chance. The other 2 might go through with good performances and some luck.